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MarketProbability
Democratic Presidential Nominee 202853 outcomes · leader Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
Alexandr 18 · +50
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
2.1yNov 8 · 2028, 04:59
Next French Presidential Election42 outcomes · leader Marine Le Pen
Marine L 43 · +39
Marine Le Pen
6moApr 19 · 2027, 03:59
Elon Musk # tweets October 2 - October 9, 2026?21 outcomes · leader 200-219
200-219 31 · +18
200-219
2d 7hOct 9 · 16:00
US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?5 outcomes · leader March 31
March 31 72 · +2
March 31
2moJan 1 · 2027, 04:59
Which party will win the House in 2026?2 outcomes · leader Democratic Party
Democrat 93
Democratic Party
3w 6dNov 4 · 04:59
Elon Musk # tweets October 5 - October 7, 2026?10 outcomes · leader 40-64
40-64 95 · +8
40-64
7h 50mOct 7 · 16:00
Fed Decision in October?5 outcomes · leader No change
No chang 84 · +3
No change
3w 0dOct 29 · 03:59
Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?19 outcomes · leader Gadi Eizenkot
Gadi Eiz 47 · +16
Gadi Eizenkot
2w 6dOct 28 · 03:59
What price will Bitcoin hit in October?19 outcomes · leader ↓ 82,500
↓ 82,500 81 · +16
↓ 82,500
3w 3dNov 1 · 04:00
Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms5 outcomes · leader Democrats Sweep
Democrat 65 · +2
Democrats Sweep
3w 6dNov 4 · 04:59
Elon Musk # tweets October 6 - October 13, 2026?26 outcomes · leader 180-199
180-199 24 · +23
180-199
6d 7hOct 13 · 16:00
Presidential Election Winner 202854 outcomes · leader JD Vance
JD Vance 20 · +51
JD Vance
2.1yNov 8 · 2028, 04:59
Nobel Peace Prize Winner 202640 outcomes · leader Sudan's Emergency Response Rooms
Sudan's 15 · +37
Sudan's Emergency Response Rooms
5moApr 1 · 2027, 03:59
What price will Ethereum hit October 5-11?13 outcomes · leader ↓ 2,500
↓ 2,500 23 · +10
↓ 2,500
4d 19hOct 12 · 04:00
Republican Presidential Nominee 202842 outcomes · leader J.D. Vance
J.D. Van 49 · +39
J.D. Vance
2.1yNov 8 · 2028, 04:59
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?2 outcomes · leader December 31
December 3
December 31
2moJan 1 · 2027, 04:59
What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026?30 outcomes · leader ↑ 90,000
↑ 90,000 70 · +27
↑ 90,000
2moJan 1 · 2027, 05:00
Next Prime Minister of Spain?16 outcomes · leader Alberto Núñez Feijóo
Alberto 81 · +13
Alberto Núñez Feijóo
1.5yApr 1 · 2028, 03:59
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Yes 16%
2moJan 1 · 2027, 04:59
What will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in October 2026?19 outcomes · leader ↓ $85
↓ $85 69 · +16
↓ $85
3w 3dNov 1 · 03:59
Texas Senate Election Winner2 outcomes · leader James Talarico (D)
James Ta 66
James Talarico (D)
3w 6dNov 4 · 04:59
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on October 7?11 outcomes · leader 28°C
28°C 97 · +9
28°C
3h 50mOct 7 · 12:00
Plague pandemic in 2026?
Yes 4%
2moJan 1 · 2027, 04:59
What price will Bitcoin hit October 5-11?14 outcomes · leader ↑ 86,000
↑ 86,000 51 · +11
↑ 86,000
4d 19hOct 12 · 04:00
What price will Ethereum hit in October?18 outcomes · leader ↓ 2,500
↓ 2,500 69 · +15
↓ 2,500
3w 3dNov 1 · 04:00
Jynxzi, Ron, and Los beat Minecraft by...?9 outcomes · leader October 15
October 95 · +6
October 15
1w 1dOct 16 · 03:59
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?
Yes 2%
3w 3dNov 1 · 03:59
What price will Ethereum hit in 2026?22 outcomes · leader ↑ 3,000
↑ 3,000 56 · +19
↑ 3,000
2moJan 1 · 2027, 05:00
Elon Musk # tweets October 9 - October 16, 2026?26 outcomes · leader 180-199
180-199 24 · +23
180-199
1w 2dOct 16 · 16:00
Will Ukraine target Moscow on...?25 outcomes · leader October 8
October 50 · +22
October 8
3w 3dNov 1 · 03:59
Largest Company end of December 2026?8 outcomes · leader NVIDIA
NVIDIA 89 · +5
NVIDIA
2moJan 1 · 2027, 04:59
Which party will win the Senate in 2026?2 outcomes · leader Democratic Party
Democrat 65
Democratic Party
3w 6dNov 4 · 04:59
OpenAI announces another Millennium Prize solution by...?2 outcomes · leader December 31, 2027
December 68
December 31, 2027
1.2yJan 1 · 2028, 04:59
Putin out as President of Russia by...?2 outcomes · leader June 30, 2027
June 30, 10
June 30, 2027
8moJul 1 · 2027, 03:59
Serbia Parliamentary Election Winner10 outcomes · leader Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia
Aleksand 53 · +8
Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia
2w 4dOct 25 · 23:59
ECB Interest Rates: October 20265 outcomes · leader No change
No chang 83 · +3
No change
3w 1dOct 30 · 03:59
Which company has the best AI model end of October?21 outcomes · leader Google
Google 68 · +18
Google
3w 3dOct 31 · 16:00
Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on...?30 outcomes · leader October 6
October 96 · +27
October 6
3w 3dNov 1 · 03:59
Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31?
Yes 12%
3w 3dNov 1 · 03:59
Nebraska Senate Election Winner 3 outcomes · leader Pete Ricketts (R)
Pete Ric 72 · +1
Pete Ricketts (R)
3w 6dNov 4 · 04:59
Bitcoin price on October 7?11 outcomes · leader 84,000-86,000
84,000-8 54 · +8
84,000-86,000
7h 50mOct 7 · 16:00
Kansas Senate Election Winner2 outcomes · leader Roger Marshall (R)
Roger Ma 65
Roger Marshall (R)
3w 6dNov 4 · 04:59
Abstract FDV above ___ one day after launch?9 outcomes · leader $200M
$200M 3 · +6
$200M
1.2yJan 1 · 2028, 05:00
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...?6 outcomes · leader October 9
October 97 · +3
October 9
2moDec 31 · 20:29
Fed Decision in December?5 outcomes · leader 25 bps increase
25 bps i 75 · +2
25 bps increase
2moDec 10 · 04:59
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by...?2 outcomes · leader June 30, 2027
June 30, 35
June 30, 2027
8moJul 1 · 2027, 03:59
Next Prime Minister of Serbia?10 outcomes · leader Aleksandar Vučić
Aleksand 68 · +7
Aleksandar Vučić
2w 4dOct 26 · 03:59
Spain General Election Winner2 outcomes · leader PP
PP 81
PP
1moNov 30 · 04:59
Iran leadership change by...?4 outcomes · leader June 30, 2027
June 30, 23 · +1
June 30, 2027
8moJul 1 · 2027, 03:59
Highest temperature in London on October 7?11 outcomes · leader 16°C
16°C 97 · +9
16°C
3h 50mOct 7 · 12:00
Which company has best AI model end of 2026?15 outcomes · leader Anthropic
Anthropi 49 · +12
Anthropic
2moDec 31 · 17:00
Ethereum Up or Down on October 7?
Yes 5%
7h 50mOct 7 · 16:00
Anthropic IPO by __?6 outcomes · leader December 31, 2026
December 83 · +3
December 31, 2026
2moJan 1 · 2027, 04:59
Will Abstract launch a token by ___?5 outcomes · leader December 31, 2027
December 3 · +2
December 31, 2027
1.2yJan 1 · 2028, 04:59
Highest temperature in Guangzhou on October 7?11 outcomes · leader 30°C
30°C 96 · +9
30°C
3h 50mOct 7 · 12:00
Nobel Chemistry Prize Winner 202630 outcomes · leader Pieter Cullis
Pieter C 39 · +27
Pieter Cullis
19h 49mOct 8 · 03:59
Ethereum price on October 7?11 outcomes · leader 2,600-2,700
2,600-2, 69 · +8
2,600-2,700
7h 50mOct 7 · 16:00
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
Yes 2%
2moJan 1 · 2027, 04:59
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Yes 2%
2moJan 1 · 2027, 04:59

Probabilities are mid-prices from onchain order books. Vectorial Data is not affiliated with any exchange or venue.

Vectorial Data aggregates publicly available market data. We are not affiliated with any exchange or venue and do not custody funds. All probabilities, prices, funding rates, and resolutions shown are sourced from public on-chain APIs and may be delayed or revised. Markets and tokens shown are speculative — past performance does not predict future results, calibration metrics describe historical accuracy and do not guarantee future calibration. Nothing on this site is financial, investment, legal, or tax advice.