←All events
Politics · 5 markets

Fed Decision in December?

Vol total$2.6M
Vol 24h$114K
Liquidity$791K
Resolves68d
Your bet
Every card is one question. Tap Yes if you think it happens, No if you don't. Each button shows the chance the market gives it, what your $10 becomes if you're right (stake included), and the profit. Wrong = you lose your $10, never more. No is everything that isn't Yes.
Outcomes · most likely first5 questions

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?most traded

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Dec 9, 2026.

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Dec 9, 2026.

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?decided · No

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Dec 9, 2026.

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?decided · No

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Dec 9, 2026.

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?decided · No

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Dec 9, 2026.

Resolution rules

The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings. This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's December 2026 meeting. If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps) The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for December 8-9, 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm. The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm. This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their December meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.

Vectorial Data aggregates publicly available market data. We are not affiliated with any exchange or venue and do not custody funds. All probabilities, prices, funding rates, and resolutions shown are sourced from public on-chain APIs and may be delayed or revised. Markets and tokens shown are speculative — past performance does not predict future results, calibration metrics describe historical accuracy and do not guarantee future calibration. Nothing on this site is financial, investment, legal, or tax advice.