Every card is one question. Tap Yes if you think it happens, No if you don't. Each button shows the chance the market gives it, what your $10 becomes if you're right (stake included), and the profit. Wrong = you lose your $10, never more. No is everything that isn't Yes.
Outcomes · most likely first53 questions
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Nov 8, 2028.
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Nov 8, 2028.
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Nov 8, 2028.
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Nov 8, 2028.
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Nov 8, 2028.
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Nov 8, 2028.
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Nov 8, 2028.
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Nov 8, 2028.
Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Nov 8, 2028.
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Nov 8, 2028.
Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?decided · No
YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Nov 8, 2028.
Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?decided · No
YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Nov 8, 2028.
Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?decided · No
YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Nov 8, 2028.
Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?decided · No
YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Nov 8, 2028.
Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?decided · No
YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Nov 8, 2028.
Will Hillary Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?decided · No
YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Nov 8, 2028.
Will LeBron James win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?decided · No
YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Nov 8, 2028.
Will Tim Walz win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?decided · No
YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Nov 8, 2028.
Will George Clooney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?decided · No
YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Nov 8, 2028.
Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?decided · No
YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Nov 8, 2028.
Will Phil Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?decided · No
YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Nov 8, 2028.
Will Beto O’Rourke win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?decided · No
YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Nov 8, 2028.
Will MrBeast win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?decided · No
YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Nov 8, 2028.
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?decided · No
YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Nov 8, 2028.
Will Liz Cheney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?decided · No
YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Nov 8, 2028.
Will Jasmine Crockett win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?decided · No
YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Nov 8, 2028.
Will Gina Raimondo win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?decided · No
YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Nov 8, 2028.
Will Barack Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?decided · No
YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Nov 8, 2028.
Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?decided · No
YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Nov 8, 2028.
Will Roy Cooper win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?decided · No
YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Nov 8, 2028.
Will Jared Polis win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?decided · No
YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Nov 8, 2028.
Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?decided · No
YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Nov 8, 2028.
Will Cory Booker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?decided · No
YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Nov 8, 2028.
Will John Fetterman win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?decided · No
YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Nov 8, 2028.
Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?decided · No
YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Nov 8, 2028.
Will Mark Cuban win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?decided · No
YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Nov 8, 2028.
Will Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?decided · No
YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Nov 8, 2028.
Will Chris Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?decided · No
YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Nov 8, 2028.
Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?decided · No
YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Nov 8, 2028.
Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?decided · No
YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Nov 8, 2028.
Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?decided · No
YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Nov 8, 2028.
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?decided · No
YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Nov 8, 2028.
Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?decided · No
YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Nov 8, 2028.
Will Ruben Gallego win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?decided · No
YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Nov 8, 2028.
Will Graham Platner win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?decided · No
YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Nov 8, 2028.
Will Abigail Spanberger win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?decided · No
YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Nov 8, 2028.
Will Josh Stein win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?decided · No
YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Nov 8, 2028.
Will Hakeem Jeffries win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?decided · No
YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Nov 8, 2028.
Will Elissa Slotkin win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?decided · No
YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Nov 8, 2028.
Will Alex Padilla win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?decided · No
YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Nov 8, 2028.
Will Mitch Landrieu win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?decided · No
YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Nov 8, 2028.
Will Adam Schiff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?decided · No
YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Nov 8, 2028.
Will Chris Van Hollen win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?decided · No
YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Nov 8, 2028.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources.
Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.