Every card is one question. Tap Yes if you think it happens, No if you don't. Each button shows the chance the market gives it, what your $10 becomes if you're right (stake included), and the profit. Wrong = you lose your $10, never more. No is everything that isn't Yes.
Outcomes · most likely first42 questions
Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Nov 8, 2028.
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Nov 8, 2028.
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Nov 8, 2028.
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Nov 8, 2028.
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Nov 8, 2028.
Will Byron Donalds win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?decided · No
YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Nov 8, 2028.
Will Mike Pence win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?decided · No
YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Nov 8, 2028.
Will John Thune win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?decided · No
YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Nov 8, 2028.
Will Kristi Noem win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?decided · No
YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Nov 8, 2028.
Will Sarah Huckabee Sanders win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?decided · No
YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Nov 8, 2028.
Will Tom Brady win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?decided · No
YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Nov 8, 2028.
Will Elon Musk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?decided · No
YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Nov 8, 2028.
Will Katie Britt win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?decided · No
YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Nov 8, 2028.
Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?decided · No
YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Nov 8, 2028.
Will Elise Stefanik win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?decided · No
YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Nov 8, 2028.
Will Steve Bannon win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?decided · No
YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Nov 8, 2028.
Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?decided · No
YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Nov 8, 2028.
Will Matt Gaetz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?decided · No
YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Nov 8, 2028.
Will Josh Hawley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?decided · No
YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Nov 8, 2028.
Will Rand Paul win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?decided · No
YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Nov 8, 2028.
Will Erika Kirk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?decided · No
YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Nov 8, 2028.
Will Brian Kemp win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?decided · No
YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Nov 8, 2028.
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?decided · No
YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Nov 8, 2028.
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?decided · No
YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Nov 8, 2028.
Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?decided · No
YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Nov 8, 2028.
Will Eric Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?decided · No
YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Nov 8, 2028.
Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?decided · No
YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Nov 8, 2028.
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?decided · No
YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Nov 8, 2028.
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?decided · No
YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Nov 8, 2028.
Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?decided · No
YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Nov 8, 2028.
Will Joe Kent win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?decided · No
YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Nov 8, 2028.
Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?decided · No
YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Nov 8, 2028.
Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?decided · No
YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Nov 8, 2028.
Will Marjorie Taylor Greene win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?decided · No
YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Nov 8, 2028.
Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?decided · No
YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Nov 8, 2028.
Will Tom Cotton win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?decided · No
YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Nov 8, 2028.
Will Candace Owens win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?decided · No
YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Nov 8, 2028.
Will Mike Johnson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?decided · No
YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Nov 8, 2028.
Will Rick Scott win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?decided · No
YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Nov 8, 2028.
Will Doug Burgum win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?decided · No
YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Nov 8, 2028.
Will Tim Scott win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?decided · No
YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Nov 8, 2028.
Will John N. Kennedy win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?decided · No
YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Nov 8, 2028.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican Party sources.
Any replacement of the Republican nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.