Economy · Ends Dec 9

Will the Fed raise interest rates again before the end of 2026?

Yes if the Fed raises the upper bound of its target interest rate between Sep 17, 2026 and its December 8-9, 2026 meeting.

On Polymarket as “Another Fed rate hike in 2026?”

What do you think?

Yes = it happens · No = it doesn't

71%chance of Yes, according to the market▼ 1 today

Your money, explained

Put $10 on Yes at 71% → if it happens you get $14.18 (+$4.18). If it doesn't, you lose the $10 — never more. You can sell any time before it ends, at that moment's price.

How it's decided

The Federal Reserve's official website settles it, after the Fed announces its decision following the December 2026 meeting. Source ↗

Full rules (source: Polymarket)This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between September 17, 2026 and the completion of the Fed's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 8 to 9, 2026, inclusive of any rate hike announced as a result of the December meeting. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Any change to the target federal funds rate announced at the conclusion of the September 15 to 16, 2026 FOMC meeting will not count toward this market. Emergency rate hikes announced on or after September 17, 2026 will qualify. This market may not resolve to "No" until the Fed has released its rate change decision following its December meeting. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

$1.3M traded since it opened · $15K today