All events
Politics · 41 markets

Next French Presidential Election

Vol total$119.9M
Vol 24h$72K
Liquidity$15.4M
Resolves254d

Outcomes · most likely first

🇫🇷
Gabriel Attal
$2.0M vol·-0%·7d
3.6%
chance
Yes 4¢ · No 96¢
🇫🇷
Marine Le Pen
$1.9M vol·+1%·7d
33.1%
chance
Yes 33¢ · No 67¢
🇫🇷
Jordan Bardella
$1.8M vol·-1%·7d
2.4%
chance
Yes 2¢ · No 98¢
🇫🇷
David Lisnard
$1.6M vol·-0%·7d
3.0%
chance
Yes 3¢ · No 97¢
🇫🇷
François Hollande
$1.5M vol
3.5%
chance
Yes 4¢ · No 96¢
🇫🇷
Édouard Philippe
$1.3M vol
25.5%
chance
Yes 26¢ · No 75¢
🇫🇷
Jean-Luc Mélenchon
$1.2M vol
13.5%
chance
Yes 14¢ · No 87¢
🇫🇷
Mathilde Panot
$6.3M vol
0.1%
chance
Yes 0¢ · No 100¢
🇫🇷
François Bayrou
$5.8M vol
0.1%
chance
Yes 0¢ · No 100¢
🇫🇷
François Asselineau
$5.6M vol
0.1%
chance
Yes 0¢ · No 100¢
🇫🇷
Yaël Braun-Pivet
$5.6M vol
0.1%
chance
Yes 0¢ · No 100¢
🇫🇷
Ségolène Royal
$5.4M vol
0.1%
chance
Yes 0¢ · No 100¢
🇫🇷
Élisabeth Borne
$5.3M vol
0.1%
chance
Yes 0¢ · No 100¢
🇫🇷
Xavier Bertrand
$5.2M vol
0.1%
chance
Yes 0¢ · No 100¢
🇫🇷
Michel Barnier
$5.1M vol
0.3%
chance
Yes 0¢ · No 100¢
🇫🇷
Olivier Faure
$5.0M vol
0.1%
chance
Yes 0¢ · No 100¢
🇫🇷
Clémentine Autain
$4.8M vol
0.1%
chance
Yes 0¢ · No 100¢
🇫🇷
Manuel Bompard
$4.7M vol
0.1%
chance
Yes 0¢ · No 100¢
🇫🇷
Carole Delga
$4.6M vol
0.1%
chance
Yes 0¢ · No 100¢
🇫🇷
Nicolas Dupont-Aignan
$4.6M vol
0.1%
chance
Yes 0¢ · No 100¢
🇫🇷
Fabien Roussel
$4.0M vol
0.1%
chance
Yes 0¢ · No 100¢
🇫🇷
Clémence Guetté
$4.0M vol
0.1%
chance
Yes 0¢ · No 100¢
🇫🇷
Valérie Pécresse
$3.9M vol
0.1%
chance
Yes 0¢ · No 100¢
🇫🇷
Marine Tondelier
$3.5M vol
0.1%
chance
Yes 0¢ · No 100¢
🇫🇷
Laurent Wauquiez
$3.5M vol
0.1%
chance
Yes 0¢ · No 100¢
🇫🇷
François Ruffin
$3.1M vol
0.1%
chance
Yes 0¢ · No 100¢
🇫🇷
Bernard Cazeneuve
$2.1M vol·-0%·7d
0.4%
chance
Yes 0¢ · No 100¢
🇫🇷
Éric Zemmour
$2.0M vol·-0%·7d
0.8%
chance
Yes 1¢ · No 99¢
🇫🇷
Juan Branco
$2.0M vol·-0%·7d
0.1%
chance
Yes 0¢ · No 100¢
🇫🇷
Bruno Retailleau
$2.0M vol·-0%·7d
1.8%
chance
Yes 2¢ · No 98¢
🇫🇷
Gérald Darmanin
$1.9M vol·-0%·7d
0.1%
chance
Yes 0¢ · No 100¢
🇫🇷
Sarah Knafo
$1.8M vol·-0%·7d
1.8%
chance
Yes 2¢ · No 98¢
🇫🇷
Dominique de Villepin
$1.6M vol·-0%·7d
1.8%
chance
Yes 2¢ · No 98¢
🇫🇷
Raphaël Glucksmann
$1.4M vol·+0%·7d
1.9%
chance
Yes 2¢ · No 98¢
🇫🇷
Sébastien Lecornu
$1.4M vol·-0%·7d
1.4%
chance
Yes 1¢ · No 99¢
🇫🇷
Jean Castex
$1.4M vol·-0%·7d
0.3%
chance
Yes 0¢ · No 100¢
🇫🇷
Yannick Jadot
$459K vol
0.1%
chance
Yes 0¢ · No 100¢
🇫🇷
François Baroin
$429K vol
0.1%
chance
Yes 0¢ · No 100¢
🇫🇷
Marion Maréchal
$182K vol
0.1%
chance
Yes 0¢ · No 100¢
🇫🇷
Karim Bouamrane
$162K vol
0.1%
chance
Yes 0¢ · No 100¢
🇫🇷
Lucie Castets
$126K vol
0.1%
chance
Yes 0¢ · No 100¢

Resolution rules

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier. The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. This market includes any potential second round. If, for any reason, the results of the election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).