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Politics · 42 markets

Next French Presidential Election

Vol total$142.7M
Vol 24h$690K
Liquidity$17.7M
Resolves198d
Your bet
Every card is one question. Tap Yes if you think it happens, No if you don't. Each button shows the chance the market gives it, what your $10 becomes if you're right (stake included), and the profit. Wrong = you lose your $10, never more. No is everything that isn't Yes.
Outcomes · most likely first42 questions

Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Apr 19, 2027.

Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Apr 19, 2027.

Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election?

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Apr 19, 2027.

Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election?

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Apr 19, 2027.

Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Apr 19, 2027.

Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Apr 19, 2027.

Will Ségolène Royal win the 2027 French presidential election?decided · No

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Apr 19, 2027.

Will Mathilde Panot win the 2027 French presidential election?decided · No

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Apr 19, 2027.

Will Olivier Faure win the 2027 French presidential election?decided · No

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Apr 19, 2027.

Will Xavier Bertrand win the 2027 French presidential election?decided · No

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Apr 19, 2027.

Will François Bayrou win the 2027 French presidential election?decided · No

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Apr 19, 2027.

Will François Asselineau win the 2027 French presidential election?decided · No

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Apr 19, 2027.

Will Yaël Braun-Pivet win the 2027 French presidential election?decided · No

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Apr 19, 2027.

Will Élisabeth Borne win the 2027 French presidential election?decided · No

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Apr 19, 2027.

Will Michel Barnier win the 2027 French presidential election?decided · No

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Apr 19, 2027.

Will Manuel Bompard win the 2027 French presidential election?decided · No

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Apr 19, 2027.

Will Clémentine Autain win the 2027 French presidential election?decided · No

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Apr 19, 2027.

Will Nicolas Dupont-Aignan win the 2027 French presidential election?decided · No

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Apr 19, 2027.

Will Carole Delga win the 2027 French presidential election?decided · No

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Apr 19, 2027.

Will François Ruffin win the 2027 French presidential election?decided · No

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Apr 19, 2027.

Will Marine Tondelier win the 2027 French presidential election?decided · No

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Apr 19, 2027.

Will Fabien Roussel win the 2027 French presidential election?decided · No

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Apr 19, 2027.

Will Clémence Guetté win the 2027 French presidential election?decided · No

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Apr 19, 2027.

Will Valérie Pécresse win the 2027 French presidential election?decided · No

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Apr 19, 2027.

Will Laurent Wauquiez win the 2027 French presidential election?decided · No

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Apr 19, 2027.

Will Éric Zemmour win the 2027 French presidential election?decided · No

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Apr 19, 2027.

Will Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election?decided · No

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Apr 19, 2027.

Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?decided · No

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Apr 19, 2027.

Will Bernard Cazeneuve win the 2027 French presidential election?decided · No

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Apr 19, 2027.

Will Juan Branco win the 2027 French presidential election?decided · No

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Apr 19, 2027.

Will Sarah Knafo win the 2027 French presidential election?decided · No

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Apr 19, 2027.

Will Dominique de Villepin win the 2027 French presidential election?decided · No

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Apr 19, 2027.

Will Gérald Darmanin win the 2027 French presidential election?decided · No

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Apr 19, 2027.

Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election?decided · No

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Apr 19, 2027.

Will Sébastien Lecornu win the 2027 French presidential election?decided · No

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Apr 19, 2027.

Will Jean Castex win the 2027 French presidential election?decided · No

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Apr 19, 2027.

Will François Baroin win the 2027 French presidential election?decided · No

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Apr 19, 2027.

Will Karim Bouamrane win the 2027 French presidential election?decided · No

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Apr 19, 2027.

Will Yannick Jadot win the 2027 French presidential election?decided · No

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Apr 19, 2027.

Will Christine Lagarde win the 2027 French presidential election?decided · No

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Apr 19, 2027.

Will Marion Maréchal win the 2027 French presidential election?decided · No

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Apr 19, 2027.

Will Lucie Castets win the 2027 French presidential election?decided · No

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Apr 19, 2027.

Resolution rules

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier. The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. This market includes any potential second round. If, for any reason, the results of the election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).

Vectorial Data aggregates publicly available market data. We are not affiliated with any exchange or venue and do not custody funds. All probabilities, prices, funding rates, and resolutions shown are sourced from public on-chain APIs and may be delayed or revised. Markets and tokens shown are speculative — past performance does not predict future results, calibration metrics describe historical accuracy and do not guarantee future calibration. Nothing on this site is financial, investment, legal, or tax advice.