🎯Will there be at least 3900 measles cases in the U.S. by October 31, 2026?most traded
YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Nov 1, 2026.
Climate · 7 markets
Measles cases in U.S. by October 31?
Vol total$1K
Vol 24h$1K
Liquidity$3K
Resolves32d
Your bet
Every card is one question. Tap Yes if you think it happens, No if you don't. Each button shows the chance the market gives it, what your $10 becomes if you're right (stake included), and the profit. Wrong = you lose your $10, never more. No is everything that isn't Yes.
Outcomes · most likely first7 questions
🎯Will there be at least 4000 measles cases in the U.S. by October 31, 2026?
YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Nov 1, 2026.
🎯Will there be at least 3700 measles cases in the U.S. by October 31, 2026?
YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Nov 1, 2026.
🎯Will there be at least 4100 measles cases in the U.S. by October 31, 2026?
YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Nov 1, 2026.
🎯Will there be at least 3800 measles cases in the U.S. by October 31, 2026?
YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Nov 1, 2026.
🎯Will there be at least 4200 measles cases in the U.S. by October 31, 2026?
YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Nov 1, 2026.
🎯Will there be at least 4300 measles cases in the U.S. by October 31, 2026?
YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Nov 1, 2026.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there have been the specified amount or more confirmed cases of Measles (Rubeola) in humans in the territory of the United States of America in 2026, according to the CDC case counter by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be the CDC Measles (Rubeola) counter 'Total Cases' in 2026 (see: https://www.cdc.gov/measles/data-research/index.html) at the resolution time. If the counter becomes unavailable, another credible source will be used. Note: Only cases reported by the CDC Measles (Rubeola) counter will qualify, regardless of reports from U.S. State agencies or other sources.