Climate · 8 markets
Measles cases in U.S. in 2026?
Vol total$7.8M
Vol 24h$1K
Liquidity$22K
Resolves134d
Outcomes · most likely first
🎯
↑10k
$6.5M vol·+1%·7d
6.3%
chance
Yes 6¢ · No 94¢
🎯
↑12.5k
$351K vol·+1%·7d
5.0%
chance
Yes 5¢ · No 95¢
🎯
↑5k
$231K vol·+11%·7d
31.0%
chance
Yes 31¢ · No 69¢
🎯
↑4k
$225K vol·+17%·7d
81.0%
chance
Yes 81¢ · No 19¢
🎯
↑7.5k
$185K vol·+1%·7d
12.0%
chance
Yes 12¢ · No 88¢
🎯
↑3k
$91K vol·+2%·7d
97.1%
chance
Yes 97¢ · No 3¢
🎯
↑3.5k
$14K vol·-1%·7d
93.0%
chance
Yes 93¢ · No 7¢
🎯
↑4.5k
$22 vol·+34%·7d
58.0%
chance
Yes 58¢ · No 42¢
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there have been the specified amount or more confirmed cases of Measles (Rubeola) in humans in the territory of the United States of America in 2026 according to the CDC case counter between January 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be the CDC Measles (Rubeola) counter (see: https://www.cdc.gov/measles/data-research/index.html) at the resolution time. If the counter becomes unavailable, another credible source will be used. Note: Only cases reported by the CDC Measles (Rubeola) counter will qualify, regardless of reports from U.S. State agencies or other sources.