Will there be at least 10000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?most traded
YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Jan 1, 2027.
Climate · 8 markets
Measles cases in U.S. in 2026?
Vol total$8.1M
Vol 24h$9K
Liquidity$25K
Resolves90d
Your bet
Every card is one question. Tap Yes if you think it happens, No if you don't. Each button shows the chance the market gives it, what your $10 becomes if you're right (stake included), and the profit. Wrong = you lose your $10, never more. No is everything that isn't Yes.
Outcomes · most likely first8 questions
Will there be at least 12500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Jan 1, 2027.
Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Jan 1, 2027.
Will there be at least 7500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Jan 1, 2027.
Will there be at least 4750 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Jan 1, 2027.
Will there be at least 6000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Jan 1, 2027.
Will there be at least 4500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Jan 1, 2027.
Will there be at least 4000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?decided · Yes
YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Jan 1, 2027.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there have been the specified amount or more confirmed cases of Measles (Rubeola) in humans in the territory of the United States of America in 2026 according to the CDC case counter between January 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be the CDC Measles (Rubeola) counter (see: https://www.cdc.gov/measles/data-research/index.html) at the resolution time. If the counter becomes unavailable, another credible source will be used. Note: Only cases reported by the CDC Measles (Rubeola) counter will qualify, regardless of reports from U.S. State agencies or other sources.