Climate · 4 markets

Measles cases in U.S. by August 31?

Vol total$19K

Vol 24h$322

Liquidity$11K

Resolves13d

Outcomes · most likely first

🎯

2750+

$2K vol·+55%·7d

92.0%

chance

Yes 92¢ · No 8¢

🎯

2700+

$1K vol·+63%·7d

94.5%

chance

Yes 95¢ · No 6¢

🎯

2600+

$4K vol·+10%·7d

99.6%

chance

Yes 100¢ · No 0¢

🎯

2650+

$2K vol·+40%·7d

98.1%

chance

Yes 98¢ · No 2¢

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if there have been the specified amount or more confirmed cases of Measles (Rubeola) in humans in the territory of the United States of America in 2026, according to the CDC case counter by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be the CDC Measles (Rubeola) counter 'Total Cases' in 2026 (see: https://www.cdc.gov/measles/data-research/index.html) at the resolution time. If the counter becomes unavailable, another credible source will be used. Note: Only cases reported by the CDC Measles (Rubeola) counter will qualify, regardless of reports from U.S. State agencies or other sources.