S&P 500 monthly hit: past results & live odds
S&P 500 monthly hit is a monthly series of prediction markets listed on Polymarket. This page tracks the event trading now, the results of the last 4 that resolved — with the odds the market gave the winner 24 hours before close — and how often the favorite of that moment actually won.
Trading now
What will S&P 500 (SPX) hit by end of December?↓ $7,400 60% · ↑ $8,000 50% · ↑ $8,200 40% — resolves Dec 31, 2026 · $407K traded
Recent results
| Event | Resolved | Winner | Winner's odds 24h before | Favorite 24h before |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| What will S&P 500 (SPX) hit by end of June? | Jun 30, 2026 | ↑ $7,600, ↑ $7,450 +6 more | — | — |
| What will S&P 500 (SPX) hit by end of March? | Apr 1, 2026 | ↑ $6,800, ↓ $6,600 +2 more | — | — |
| What will S&P 500 (SPX) hit by end of February? | Feb 28, 2026 | ↓ $6,800 and ↑$6,900 | — | — |
| What will S&P 500 (SPX) hit by end of January? | Jan 31, 2026 | ↑ $7,000, ↓ $6,900 +1 more | — | — |
Sources: settlements and events from Polymarket's public Gamma API; odds 24 hours before close (the earlier of the scheduled end and the actual close) from Polymarket's public CLOB price history. A “—” means the price history doesn't prove it, so that event is left out of the favorite count rather than estimated.