What will S&P 500 (SPX) hit by end of March?
Resolved: ↑ $6,800, ↓ $6,600 +2 more · Apr 1, 2026
$970K traded over the life of the market. Resolution source: the rules below.
| Outcome | Odds 24h before close | Settled |
|---|---|---|
| ↓ $6,400 | 100% | Won · 100% |
| ↑ $6,800 | 100% | Won · 100% |
| ↓ $6,600 | 100% | Won · 100% |
| ↓ $6,500 | 100% | Won · 100% |
| ↓ $6,300 | 59% | 0% |
| ↓ $6,200 | 32% | 0% |
| ↓ $6,000 | 5% | 0% |
| ↑ $6,900 | <1% | 0% |
| ↓ $5,000 | <1% | 0% |
| ↑ $8,000 | <1% | 0% |
| ↑ $7,300 | <1% | 0% |
| ↑ $7,100 | <1% | 0% |
+3 more outcomes, all settled at 0%.
Resolution rules (source: Polymarket)
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for March 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered. Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered. All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.