Largest Company: past results & live odds
Largest Company is a monthly series of prediction markets listed on Polymarket. This page tracks the event trading now, the results of the last 10 that resolved — with the odds the market gave the winner 24 hours before close — and how often the favorite of that moment actually won. Over the last 10 resolved events where the price history proves who the favorite was 24 hours before close, the favorite won 10 of 10 (100%), priced at 98% on average.
Trading now
Largest Company end of October 2026?NVIDIA 96% · Apple 4% · Alphabet <1% — resolves Nov 1, 2026 · $226K traded
- Largest Company end of December 2026? — NVIDIA 84%, Apple 15%
Recent results
| Event | Resolved | Winner | Winner's odds 24h before | Favorite 24h before |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Largest Company end of September? | Sep 30, 2026 | NVIDIA | >99% | NVIDIA >99% — won |
| Largest Company end of August? | Sep 28, 2026 | NVIDIA | >99% | NVIDIA >99% — won |
| Largest Company end of July? | Jul 31, 2026 | NVIDIA | 78% | NVIDIA 78% — won |
| Largest Company end of June? | Jun 30, 2026 | NVIDIA | 99% | NVIDIA 99% — won |
| Largest Company end of May? | May 31, 2026 | NVIDIA | >99% | NVIDIA >99% — won |
| Largest Company end of April? | Apr 30, 2026 | NVIDIA | >99% | NVIDIA >99% — won |
| Largest Company end of March? | Apr 1, 2026 | NVIDIA | >99% | NVIDIA >99% — won |
| Largest Company End of February? | Mar 4, 2026 | NVIDIA | >99% | NVIDIA >99% — won |
| Largest Company end of January? | Jan 31, 2026 | NVIDIA | >99% | NVIDIA >99% — won |
| Largest Company end of 2025? | Jan 1, 2026 | NVIDIA | >99% | NVIDIA >99% — won |
Sources: settlements and events from Polymarket's public Gamma API; odds 24 hours before close (the earlier of the scheduled end and the actual close) from Polymarket's public CLOB price history. A “—” means the price history doesn't prove it, so that event is left out of the favorite count rather than estimated.