Every card is one question. Tap Yes if you think it happens, No if you don't. Each button shows the chance the market gives it, what your $10 becomes if you're right (stake included), and the profit. Wrong = you lose your $10, never more. No is everything that isn't Yes.
Outcomes · most likely first8 questions
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?most traded
YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Jan 1, 2027.
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Jan 1, 2027.
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Jan 1, 2027.
Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?decided · No
YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Jan 1, 2027.
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?decided · No
YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Jan 1, 2027.
Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?decided · No
YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Jan 1, 2027.
Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?decided · No
YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Jan 1, 2027.
Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?decided · No
YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Jan 1, 2027.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31, 2026, as of market close.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.