elon tweet daily: past results & live odds
elon tweet daily is a daily series of prediction markets listed on Polymarket. This page tracks the event trading now, the results of the last 10 that resolved — with the odds the market gave the winner 24 hours before close — and how often the favorite of that moment actually won. Over the last 10 resolved events where the price history proves who the favorite was 24 hours before close, the favorite won 8 of 10 (80%), priced at 72% on average.
Trading now
Elon Musk # tweets in October 2026?1000+ 75% · 960-999 8% · 920-959 7% — resolves Nov 1, 2026 · $311K traded
Recent results
| Event | Resolved | Winner | Winner's odds 24h before | Favorite 24h before |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elon Musk # of tweets in September 2026? | Oct 1, 2026 | 840-879 | 53% | 840-879 53% — won |
| Elon Musk # tweets in August 2026? | Sep 1, 2026 | 880-919 | 75% | 880-919 75% — won |
| Elon Musk # tweets in July 2026? | Aug 1, 2026 | 880-919 | 17% | 840-879 83% — lost |
| Elon Musk # tweets in June 2026? | Jul 1, 2026 | 960-999 | 63% | 960-999 63% — won |
| Elon Musk musk # tweets in May 2026? | Jun 1, 2026 | 800-839 | 17% | 840-879 80% — lost |
| Elon Musk musk # tweets in April 2026? | May 1, 2026 | 1040-1079 | 82% | 1040-1079 82% — won |
| Elon Musk musk # tweets in March 2026? | Apr 1, 2026 | 1320-1359 | 56% | 1320-1359 56% — won |
| Elon Musk # tweets March 10 - March 11, 2026? | Mar 11, 2026 | 40-49 | 29% | 40-49 29% — won |
| Elon Musk musk # tweets in January 2026? | Jan 19, 2026 | 1400+ | >99% | 1400+ >99% — won |
| Elon Musk musk # tweets in December 2025? | Dec 29, 2025 | 1400+ | >99% | 1400+ >99% — won |
Sources: settlements and events from Polymarket's public Gamma API; odds 24 hours before close (the earlier of the scheduled end and the actual close) from Polymarket's public CLOB price history. A “—” means the price history doesn't prove it, so that event is left out of the favorite count rather than estimated.