All predictions

Culture · Ends Dec 1
How many times will Elon Musk post on X in November 2026?
Elon Musk's number of X posts in November 2026 is counted; each range is its own question and is Yes if the total lands in it.
On Polymarket as “Elon Musk # tweets in November 2026?”
elon tweet daily: past results and how often the favorite won →What do you think happens?
Only one of these will happen. YES = it happens · NO = it doesn't.
1000 or more▼ 6 today
960-999▲ 2 today
880-919▲ 2 today
920-959▲ 2 today
840-879▲ 1 today
800-839
780-799
Show 31 more under 1%Hide the ones under 1%
720-739
760-779
700-719
740-759
680-699
580-599
620-639
380-399
660-679
500-519
600-619
560-579
540-559
520-539
640-659
400-419
460-479
180-199
480-499
420-439
160-179
200-219
220-239
240-259
260-279
280-299
300-319
320-339
340-359
360-379
440-459
Your money, explained
Put $10 on “1000 or more” at 73% → if it happens you get $13.70 (+$3.70). If it doesn't, you lose the $10 — never more. You can sell any time before it ends, at that moment's price.
How it's decided
The Post Counter figure on Polymarket's xtracker site (xtracker.polymarket.com) for November 2026 settles it. Source ↗
Full rules (source: Polymarket)This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of November 2026.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
$101K traded since it opened · $16K today
