3rd largest company: past results & live odds
3rd largest company is a monthly series of prediction markets listed on Polymarket. This page tracks the event trading now, the results of the last 10 that resolved — with the odds the market gave the winner 24 hours before close — and how often the favorite of that moment actually won. Over the last 10 resolved events where the price history proves who the favorite was 24 hours before close, the favorite won 10 of 10 (100%), priced at 97% on average.
Trading now
3rd Largest Company end of October?Alphabet 87% · Microsoft 12% · Apple <1% — resolves Nov 1, 2026 · $37K traded
- 3rd Largest Company end of December 2026? — Alphabet 57%, Microsoft 30%
Recent results
| Event | Resolved | Winner | Winner's odds 24h before | Favorite 24h before |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3rd Largest Company end of September? | Sep 30, 2026 | Alphabet | >99% | Alphabet >99% — won |
| 3rd Largest Company end of August? | Sep 28, 2026 | Alphabet | 98% | Alphabet 98% — won |
| 3rd Largest Company end of July? | Jul 31, 2026 | Alphabet | >99% | Alphabet >99% — won |
| 3rd largest company end of June? | Jun 30, 2026 | Apple | 81% | Apple 81% — won |
| 3rd largest company end of May? | May 31, 2026 | Apple | >99% | Apple >99% — won |
| 3rd largest company end of April? | Apr 30, 2026 | Apple | 97% | Apple 97% — won |
| 3rd largest company end of March? | Apr 1, 2026 | Alphabet | >99% | Alphabet >99% — won |
| 3rd largest company end of February? | Feb 28, 2026 | Alphabet | >99% | Alphabet >99% — won |
| 3rd largest company end of January? | Jan 31, 2026 | Apple | >99% | Apple >99% — won |
| 3rd Largest company end of 2025? | Jan 1, 2026 | Alphabet | 99% | Alphabet 99% — won |
Sources: settlements and events from Polymarket's public Gamma API; odds 24 hours before close (the earlier of the scheduled end and the actual close) from Polymarket's public CLOB price history. A “—” means the price history doesn't prove it, so that event is left out of the favorite count rather than estimated.