Every card is one question. Tap Yes if you think it happens, No if you don't. Each button shows the chance the market gives it, what your $10 becomes if you're right (stake included), and the profit. Wrong = you lose your $10, never more. No is everything that isn't Yes.
Outcomes · most likely first9 questions
Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?most traded
YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Jan 1, 2027.
Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Jan 1, 2027.
Will Microsoft be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Jan 1, 2027.
Will NVIDIA be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Jan 1, 2027.
Will Tesla be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?decided · No
YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Jan 1, 2027.
Will SpaceX be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?decided · No
YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Jan 1, 2027.
Will Amazon be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?decided · No
YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Jan 1, 2027.
Will Broadcom be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?decided · No
YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Jan 1, 2027.
Will Saudi Aramco be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?decided · No
YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Jan 1, 2027.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31, 2026, as of market close.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.