All events
Politics · 20 markets

Who will Trump speak to in August?

Vol total$50K
Vol 24h$2K
Liquidity$18K
Resolves13d

Outcomes · most likely first

🇨🇳
Xi Jinping
$8K vol·-8%·7d
7.5%
chance
Yes 8¢ · No 93¢
🇰🇵
Kim Jong Un
$5K vol·+3%·7d
5.7%
chance
Yes 6¢ · No 94¢
🇷🇺
Vladimir Putin
$5K vol·-24%·7d
31.0%
chance
Yes 31¢ · No 69¢
🇬🇧
Andy Burnham
$5K vol·-14%·7d
50.0%
chance
Yes 50¢ · No 50¢
🇫🇷
Emmanuel Macron
$4K vol·+20%·7d
71.0%
chance
Yes 71¢ · No 29¢
🇻🇦
Pope Leo XIV
$3K vol·+0%·7d
3.1%
chance
Yes 3¢ · No 97¢
🇺🇦
Volodymyr Zelenskyy
$3K vol·-13%·7d
50.0%
chance
Yes 50¢ · No 50¢
🎯
Maria Corina Machado
$785 vol·+1%·7d
5.8%
chance
Yes 6¢ · No 94¢
🇺🇸
Elon Musk
$783 vol·+9%·7d
50.5%
chance
Yes 51¢ · No 50¢
🇮🇷
Reza Pahlavi
$737 vol·-0%·7d
2.4%
chance
Yes 2¢ · No 98¢
🎯
Mark Rutte
$559 vol·-4%·7d
61.0%
chance
Yes 61¢ · No 39¢
🎯
Friedrich Merz
$358 vol·+4%·7d
50.0%
chance
Yes 50¢ · No 50¢
🎯
Lula da Silva
$331 vol·-3%·7d
52.0%
chance
Yes 52¢ · No 48¢
🎯
Ahmed al-Sharaa
$253 vol·-1%·7d
48.5%
chance
Yes 49¢ · No 52¢
🇮🇷
Masoud Pezeshkian
$230 vol·+0%·7d
2.2%
chance
Yes 2¢ · No 98¢
🇨🇺
Miguel Díaz-Canel
$137 vol·-5%·7d
7.0%
chance
Yes 7¢ · No 93¢
🎯
Ursula von der Leyen
$74 vol·+22%·7d
49.5%
chance
Yes 50¢ · No 51¢
🇻🇪
Nicolás Maduro
$2K vol·-0%·7d
1.1%
chance
Yes 1¢ · No 99¢
🇰🇷
Yoon Suk Yeol
$618 vol·+0%·7d
0.9%
chance
Yes 1¢ · No 99¢
🇮🇷
Mojtaba Khamenei
$260 vol·-0%·7d
1.5%
chance
Yes 1¢ · No 99¢

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual speaks with Donald Trump between August 1 and August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". Speaking is defined as any verbal interaction between the listed individual and Donald Trump, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call. The resolution source will be credible media reporting. However, in the absence of definitive or in the case of contradictory media reporting, statements by either of the specified individuals or their official representatives will also be considered. Statements by the specified individuals or their official representatives will only be considered conclusive if the claims explicitly, or in context unambiguously, indicate that a qualifying talk occurred within the specified timeframe and took place via verbal communication, and provided that such claims are not contradicted by the other specified individual, their representatives, or credible media reporting by the end of the third calendar date (ET) following the statement in question. This market will resolve at the earlier of i) a qualifying verbal interaction being confirmed under the above rules or ii) 11:59 PM ET on the third calendar day following this market's above-specified timeframe. If the date and time of a qualifying talk cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by 11:59 PM ET on the third calendar day following this market's above-specified timeframe, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether it was later confirmed to have taken place.