Politics · 3 markets

Trump declassifies new UFO files by...?

Vol total$934

Vol 24h$934

Liquidity$2K

Resolves100d

Your bet$

Every card is one question. Tap Yes if you think it happens, No if you don't. Each button shows the chance the market gives it, what your $10 becomes if you're right (stake included), and the profit. Wrong = you lose your $10, never more. No is everything that isn't Yes.

Outcomes · most likely first3 questions

🎯Trump declassifies new UFO files by October 15?most traded

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't

Settles: Official result · closes Oct 16, 2026.

🎃Trump declassifies new UFO files by October 31?

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't

Settles: Official result · closes Nov 1, 2026.

🎯Trump declassifies new UFO files by November 30?

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't

Settles: Official result · closes Dec 1, 2026.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Trump administration declassifies any files pertaining to extraterrestrial life and/or unexplained aerial phenomena which were not previously publicly available between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For purposes of this market, the “Trump administration” includes the Executive Office of the President and all executive branch departments, agencies, and subordinate offices under presidential authority during the Trump presidency, including the Department of Defense and its components. Announcements of declassifications that are not implemented within this market’s timeframe will not count. The primary resolution source for declassification will be official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.