Reserve Bank of Australia Decision in February
Resolved: Increase · Feb 3, 2026
24 hours before close (Feb 2, 2026, 00:00 UTC), the market's favorite was Increase at 78% — it won. $223K traded over the life of the market. Resolution source: the rules below.
| Outcome | Odds 24h before close | Settled |
|---|---|---|
| Increase | 78% | Won · 100% |
| No Change | 23% | 0% |
| Decrease | <1% | 0% |
Resolution rules (source: Polymarket)
This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the cash rate resulting from the Reserve Bank of Australia Monetary Policy Board’s February meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting. The resolution source for this market is information released by the Reserve Bank of Australia after its February 3, 2026 meeting, as listed on the official Reserve Bank of Australia calendar: https://www.rba.gov.au/schedules-events/board-meeting-schedules.html This market may resolve as soon as the Reserve Bank of Australia's media release for their February 3, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the target for the cash rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No Change" bracket.