Will no listed leader be out before 2027?most traded
YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Jan 1, 2027.
Other · 22 markets
Next leader out of power before 2027?
Vol total$708K
Vol 24h$18K
Liquidity$594K
Resolves90d
Your bet
Every card is one question. Tap Yes if you think it happens, No if you don't. Each button shows the chance the market gives it, what your $10 becomes if you're right (stake included), and the profit. Wrong = you lose your $10, never more. No is everything that isn't Yes.
Outcomes · most likely first22 questions
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027?
YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Jan 1, 2027.
Will Friedrich Merz be the next leader out before 2027?
YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Jan 1, 2027.
Will Sébastien Lecornu be the next leader out before 2027?
YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Jan 1, 2027.
Will Miguel Díaz-Canel be the next leader out before 2027?
YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Jan 1, 2027.
Will Pedro Sánchez be the next leader out before 2027?
YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Jan 1, 2027.
Will Xi Jinping be the next leader out before 2027?decided · No
YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Jan 1, 2027.
Will Recep Tayyip Erdoğan be the next leader out before 2027?decided · No
YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Jan 1, 2027.
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva be the next leader out before 2027?decided · No
YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Jan 1, 2027.
Will Emmanuel Macron be the next leader out before 2027?decided · No
YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Jan 1, 2027.
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be the next leader out before 2027?decided · No
YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Jan 1, 2027.
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the next leader out before 2027?decided · No
YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Jan 1, 2027.
Will Donald Trump be the next leader out before 2027?decided · No
YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Jan 1, 2027.
Will Sanae Takaichi be the next leader out before 2027?decided · No
YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Jan 1, 2027.
Will Vladimir Putin be the next leader out before 2027?decided · No
YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Jan 1, 2027.
Will Gavin Newsom be the next leader out before 2027?decided · No
YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Jan 1, 2027.
Will Claudia Sheinbaum be the next leader out before 2027?decided · No
YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Jan 1, 2027.
Will Kim Jong Un be the next leader out before 2027?decided · No
YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Jan 1, 2027.
Will Mahmoud Abbas be the next leader out before 2027?decided · No
YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Jan 1, 2027.
Will Javier Milei be the next leader out before 2027?decided · No
YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Jan 1, 2027.
Will Ahmed al-Sharaa be the next leader out before 2027?decided · No
YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Jan 1, 2027.
Will Anthony Albanese be the next leader out before 2027?decided · No
YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Jan 1, 2027.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve according to the first listed individual who ceases to occupy their listed office. An announcement of a resignation/removal, or a scheduled departure from office due to the outcome of an election, will not alone qualify. Only permanent removal from office will qualify for resolution. Temporary removals, such as impeachment suspensions (e.g., Yoon Suk Yeol's recent impeachment), temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment, or any similar provisional transfers of power, will not count. Additionally, if an individual continues in a caretaker or interim role (e.g., Gabriel Attal remaining as caretaker Prime Minister of France), they will not be considered to have ceased occupying the office for the purposes of this market. If this criterion has not been met for any of the listed individuals by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None before 2027”. No additional individuals will be added to this market after its creation. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.