Economy · 6 markets

How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?

Vol total$287K

Vol 24h$190

Liquidity$7K

Resolves134d

Outcomes · most likely first

🎯

5.0%

$81K vol·+12%·7d

39.0%

chance

Yes 39¢ · No 61¢

🎯

4.8%

$60K vol

66.5%

chance

Yes 67¢ · No 34¢

🎯

5.2%

$26K vol·-6%·7d

10.4%

chance

Yes 10¢ · No 90¢

🎯

5.5%

$6K vol·-5%·7d

6.2%

chance

Yes 6¢ · No 94¢

🎯

5.7%

$4K vol·-4%·7d

3.9%

chance

Yes 4¢ · No 96¢

🎯

6.0%

$3K vol·-0%·7d

5.1%

chance

Yes 5¢ · No 95¢

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).