How high 10-year Treasury: past results & live odds
How high 10-year Treasury is a monthly series of prediction markets listed on Polymarket. This page tracks the event trading now, the results of the last 4 that resolved — with the odds the market gave the winner 24 hours before close — and how often the favorite of that moment actually won.
Trading now
How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?5.3% 32% · 5.4% 22% · 5.5% 10% — resolves Jan 1, 2027 · $1.1M traded
Recent results
| Event | Resolved | Winner | Winner's odds 24h before | Favorite 24h before |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| How high will 10-year Treasury yield go in October? | Oct 30, 2026 | 5.29% | 100% | — |
| How high will 10-year Treasury yield go in September? | Sep 29, 2026 | 4.82%, 4.85% +11 more | — | — |
| How high will 10-year Treasury yield go by March 31? | Apr 1, 2026 | 4.3% and 4.4% | — | — |
| How high will 10-year Treasury yield go in 2025? | Dec 31, 2025 | 4.5% | 100% | — |
Sources: settlements and events from Polymarket's public Gamma API; odds 24 hours before close (the earlier of the scheduled end and the actual close) from Polymarket's public CLOB price history. A “—” means the price history doesn't prove it, so that event is left out of the favorite count rather than estimated.