All events
Economy · 12 markets

August Inflation US - Annual

Vol total$13K
Vol 24h$234
Liquidity$31K
Resolves23d

Outcomes · most likely first

🏈
3.4%
$5K vol
41.5%
chance
Yes 42¢ · No 59¢
🏈
3.3%
$5K vol
30.0%
chance
Yes 30¢ · No 70¢
🏈
3.5%
$722 vol
16.0%
chance
Yes 16¢ · No 84¢
🏈
3.7%
$307 vol
2.9%
chance
Yes 3¢ · No 97¢
🏈
3.8%
$307 vol
3.4%
chance
Yes 3¢ · No 97¢
🏈
3.2%
$247 vol
9.3%
chance
Yes 9¢ · No 91¢
🏈
3.6%
$202 vol
5.0%
chance
Yes 5¢ · No 95¢
🏈
3.9%
$335 vol
0.5%
chance
Yes 1¢ · No 99¢
🏈
3.1%
$236 vol
1.7%
chance
Yes 2¢ · No 98¢
🏈
≥4.0%
$220 vol
0.5%
chance
Yes 1¢ · No 99¢
🏈
3.0%
$216 vol
1.5%
chance
Yes 2¢ · No 99¢
🏈
≤2.9%
$199 vol
0.6%
chance
Yes 1¢ · No 99¢

Resolution rules

This is a market about inflation over the 12-month period ending August 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics. This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in August 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report. The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on September 11, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.