Nothing Ever Happens: past results & live odds
Nothing Ever Happens is a monthly series of prediction markets listed on Polymarket. This page tracks the event trading now, the results of the last 10 that resolved — with the odds the market gave the winner 24 hours before close — and how often the favorite of that moment actually won. Over the last 10 resolved events where the price history proves who the favorite was 24 hours before close, the favorite won 8 of 10 (80%), priced at 89% on average.
Trading now
Nothing Ever Happens: OctoberNothing 93% · Something 7% — resolves Oct 31, 2026 · $6K traded
- Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 — Yes 83%, No 17%
Recent results
| Event | Resolved | Winner | Winner's odds 24h before | Favorite 24h before |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nothing Ever Happens: September | Oct 9, 2026 | Nothing | >99% | Nothing >99% — won |
| Nothing Ever Happens: August | Sep 10, 2026 | Nothing | >99% | Nothing >99% — won |
| Nothing Ever Happens: July | Aug 1, 2026 | Nothing | >99% | Nothing >99% — won |
| Nothing Ever Happens: June | Jul 2, 2026 | Nothing | >99% | Nothing >99% — won |
| Nothing Ever Happens: May | Jun 3, 2026 | Nothing | 94% | Nothing 94% — won |
| Nothing Ever Happens: March | May 30, 2026 | Nothing | 73% | Nothing 73% — won |
| Nothing Ever Happens: April | May 12, 2026 | Nothing | 98% | Nothing 98% — won |
| Nothing Ever Happens: April | Apr 5, 2026 | Something | 86% | Something 86% — won |
| Nothing Ever Happens: February | Feb 28, 2026 | Something | 8% | Nothing 92% — lost |
| Nothing Ever Happens: February | Feb 6, 2026 | Something | 46% | Nothing 54% — lost |
Sources: settlements and events from Polymarket's public Gamma API; odds 24 hours before close (the earlier of the scheduled end and the actual close) from Polymarket's public CLOB price history. A “—” means the price history doesn't prove it, so that event is left out of the favorite count rather than estimated.