Bank of Russia Decision: past results & live odds
Bank of Russia Decision is a yearly series of prediction markets listed on Polymarket. This page tracks the event trading now, the results of the last 6 that resolved — with the odds the market gave the winner 24 hours before close — and how often the favorite of that moment actually won. Over the last 6 resolved events where the price history proves who the favorite was 24 hours before close, the favorite won 5 of 6 (83%), priced at 78% on average.
Trading now
Bank of Russia decision in October?No Change 92% · Decrease 10% · Increase <1% — resolves Oct 24, 2026 · $97K traded
- Bank of Russia decision in December? — No change 64%, 25 bps decrease 27%
Recent results
| Event | Resolved | Winner | Winner's odds 24h before | Favorite 24h before |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bank of Russia decision in September? | Sep 11, 2026 | No Change | 78% | No Change 78% — won |
| Bank of Russia decision in July? | Jul 24, 2026 | Decrease | 52% | Decrease 52% — won |
| Bank of Russia decision in June? | Jun 19, 2026 | Decrease | 97% | Decrease 97% — won |
| Bank of Russia decision in April? | Apr 24, 2026 | Decrease | 96% | Decrease 96% — won |
| Bank of Russia decision in March? | Mar 20, 2026 | Decrease | 92% | Decrease 92% — won |
| Bank of Russia decision in February? | Feb 13, 2026 | Decrease | 49% | No Change 51% — lost |
Sources: settlements and events from Polymarket's public Gamma API; odds 24 hours before close (the earlier of the scheduled end and the actual close) from Polymarket's public CLOB price history. A “—” means the price history doesn't prove it, so that event is left out of the favorite count rather than estimated.