Bank of England decision: past results & live odds
Bank of England decision is a yearly series of prediction markets listed on Polymarket. This page tracks the event trading now, the results of the last 9 that resolved — with the odds the market gave the winner 24 hours before close — and how often the favorite of that moment actually won. Over the last 9 resolved events where the price history proves who the favorite was 24 hours before close, the favorite won 9 of 9 (100%), priced at 97% on average.
Trading now
Bank of England decision in November?25 bps increase 90% · No change 9% · 50+ bps increase <1% — resolves Nov 5, 2026 · $296K traded
Recent results
| Event | Resolved | Winner | Winner's odds 24h before | Favorite 24h before |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bank of England decision in September? | Sep 17, 2026 | No change | 96% | No change 96% — won |
| Bank of England decision in July? | Jul 30, 2026 | No change | 99% | No change 99% — won |
| Bank of England decision in June? | Jun 18, 2026 | No change | >99% | No change >99% — won |
| Bank of England decision in April? | Apr 30, 2026 | No change | 98% | No change 98% — won |
| Bank of England Decision in March? | Mar 19, 2026 | No change | 98% | No change 98% — won |
| Bank of England decision in February? | Feb 5, 2026 | No change | >99% | No change >99% — won |
| Bank of England decision in December? | Dec 18, 2025 | 25 bps decrease | >99% | 25 bps decrease >99% — won |
| Bank of England decision in November? | Nov 6, 2025 | No change | 83% | No change 83% — won |
| Bank of England decision in September? | Sep 18, 2025 | No change | 98% | No change 98% — won |
Sources: settlements and events from Polymarket's public Gamma API; odds 24 hours before close (the earlier of the scheduled end and the actual close) from Polymarket's public CLOB price history. A “—” means the price history doesn't prove it, so that event is left out of the favorite count rather than estimated.