Bank of Brazil decision: past results & live odds
Bank of Brazil decision is a yearly series of prediction markets listed on Polymarket. This page tracks the event trading now, the results of the last 8 that resolved — with the odds the market gave the winner 24 hours before close — and how often the favorite of that moment actually won. Over the last 8 resolved events where the price history proves who the favorite was 24 hours before close, the favorite won 8 of 8 (100%), priced at 92% on average.
Trading now
Bank of Brazil decision in November?25 bps decrease 87% · No Change 10% · 50+ bps decrease 2% — resolves Nov 4, 2026 · $60K traded
- Bank of Brazil decision in December? — 25 bps decrease 56%, 50+ bps decrease 26%
Recent results
| Event | Resolved | Winner | Winner's odds 24h before | Favorite 24h before |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bank of Brazil decision in September? | Sep 16, 2026 | 25 bps decrease | 98% | 25 bps decrease 98% — won |
| Bank of Brazil decision in August? | Aug 6, 2026 | 25 bps decrease | 98% | 25 bps decrease 98% — won |
| Bank of Brazil Decision in June? | Jun 18, 2026 | Decrease | 86% | Decrease 86% — won |
| Bank of Brazil Decision in April? | Apr 30, 2026 | Decrease | 96% | Decrease 96% — won |
| Bank of Brazil Decision in March? | Mar 19, 2026 | Decrease | 70% | Decrease 70% — won |
| Bank of Brazil decision in January? | Jan 29, 2026 | No Change | 89% | No Change 89% — won |
| Bank of Brazil decision in December? | Dec 11, 2025 | No Change | 97% | No Change 97% — won |
| Bank of Brazil decision in November? | Nov 6, 2025 | No Change | >99% | No Change >99% — won |
Sources: settlements and events from Polymarket's public Gamma API; odds 24 hours before close (the earlier of the scheduled end and the actual close) from Polymarket's public CLOB price history. A “—” means the price history doesn't prove it, so that event is left out of the favorite count rather than estimated.