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Politics · binary

Will the U.S. invade Mexico in 2026?

Vol total$252K
Vol 24h$1K
Liquidity$32K
Resolves122d

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Prediction

Will the U.S. invade Mexico in 2026?

Your pick: Yes — each share pays $1 if Yes wins.

Bets from $1 · deposits start at $3.

SideYes
Price$0.0285
Shares (est)175.44
Spend$5.00
Capital back$5.00
Profit if Yes wins+$170.44
If Yes wins pays$175.44
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Price history0.00% · 1W
1%2%3%4%5%Aug 25Aug 27Aug 28Aug 30Aug 31Sep 1

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Mexican land territory by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Mexico or the United States, as of market creation, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Vectorial Data aggregates publicly available market data. We are not affiliated with any exchange or venue and do not custody funds. All probabilities, prices, funding rates, and resolutions shown are sourced from public on-chain APIs and may be delayed or revised. Markets and tokens shown are speculative — past performance does not predict future results, calibration metrics describe historical accuracy and do not guarantee future calibration. Nothing on this site is financial, investment, legal, or tax advice.