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Politics · binary

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Vol total$59.0M
Vol 24h$87K
Liquidity$981K
Resolves134d

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Prediction

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Your pick: Yes — each share pays $1 if Yes wins.

Bets from $1 · deposits start at $3.

SideYes
Price$0.1750
Shares (est)28.57
Spend$5.00
Capital back$5.00
Profit if Yes wins+$23.57
If Yes wins pays$28.57
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Price history-1.00% · 1W
15%16%18%19%21%Aug 12Aug 13Aug 15Aug 16Aug 18Aug 19

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Iran by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Iran or the United States as of November 4, 2025 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.