Culture · 2 markets

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?

Vol total$65.1M

Vol 24h$50K

Liquidity$1.0M

Resolves134d

Outcomes · most likely first

🎆

December 31

$37.2M vol·-1%·7d

3.6%

chance

Yes 4¢ · No 96¢

🍂

September 30

$4.0M vol·-0%·7d

1.8%

chance

Yes 2¢ · No 98¢

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of the United States, any member of the Cabinet of the United States, any member of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, or any US federal agency definitively states that extraterrestrial life or technology exists by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.