Crypto · binary

Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?

Vol total$4.8M

Vol 24h$3K

Liquidity$97K

Resolves135d

Place your bet

Prediction

Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?

Your pick: Yes — each share pays $1 if Yes wins.

Spend (USDC)

Bets from $1 · deposits start at $3.

SideYes

Price$0.0475

Shares (est)105.26

Spend$5.00

Capital back$5.00

Profit if Yes wins+$100.26

If Yes wins pays$105.26

Connecting your wallet… (usually under 2s)

You sign every order from your embedded wallet. Vectorial Data never holds your funds.

Price history+0.10% · 1W

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to “Yes” if any wallet labeled as belonging to Satoshi Nakamoto on Arkham’s Intel Explorer shows an “Outflow” or “Swaps” transaction at any time between January 9, 2026, 1:00 PM ET and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The resolution source for this market is Arkham’s Intel Explorer, specifically the entity page for Satoshi Nakamoto available at https://intel.arkm.com/explorer/entity/satoshi-nakamoto If Arkham becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on a consensus of credible sources.