Other · 3 markets

Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by...?

Vol total$3.5M

Vol 24h$8K

Liquidity$208K

Resolves134d

Outcomes · most likely first

🎆

December 31

$816K vol·+1%·7d

5.5%

chance

Yes 6¢ · No 95¢

🎯

June 30, 2027

$47K vol·+1%·7d

34.0%

chance

Yes 34¢ · No 66¢

🍂

September 30

$1.0M vol·-1%·7d

1.9%

chance

Yes 2¢ · No 98¢

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Samuel Alito announces that he will retire from his position as Associate Justice of the Supreme Court of the United States by the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The announced timing of his retirement may be immediate, at the end of the current Supreme Court term, or at any point in the future. Any qualifying announcement from Alito will count for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced retirement goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official announcements from Alito or one of his official representatives.