Will Russia invade another country in 2026?most traded
YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Jan 1, 2027.
Politics · 2 markets
Will Russia invade another country by...?
Vol total$589K
Vol 24h$505
Liquidity$74K
Resolves454d
Your bet
Every card is one question. Tap Yes if you think it happens, No if you don't. Each button shows the chance the market gives it, what your $10 becomes if you're right (stake included), and the profit. Wrong = you lose your $10, never more. No is everything that isn't Yes.
Outcomes · most likely first2 questions
Will Russia invade another country by December 31, 2027?
YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Jan 1, 2028.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Russia commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of any UN member state's territory, other than Ukraine's, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by any UN member state, as of market creation, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.