Politics · binary
Will Russia invade another country in 2026?
Vol total$405K
Vol 24h$1K
Liquidity$50K
Resolves134d
Place your bet
PredictionWill Russia invade another country in 2026?
Your pick: Yes — each share pays $1 if Yes wins.
Bets from $1 · deposits start at $3.
SideYes
Price$0.0550
Shares (est)90.91
Spend$5.00
Capital back$5.00
Profit if Yes wins+$85.91
If Yes wins pays$90.91
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Price history-1.00% · 1W
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Russia commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of any UN member state's territory, other than Ukraine's, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by any UN member state, as of market creation, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.