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Tech & AI · 14 markets

Will OpenAI's valuation hit __ by December 31?

Vol total$1.2M
Vol 24h$3K
Liquidity$118K
Resolves94d
Your bet
Every card is one question. Tap Yes if you think it happens, No if you don't. Each button shows the chance the market gives it, what your $10 becomes if you're right (stake included), and the profit. Wrong = you lose your $10, never more. No is everything that isn't Yes.
Outcomes · most likely first14 questions

Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?most traded

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Jan 5, 2027.

Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $750B by December 31?

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Jan 5, 2027.

Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Jan 5, 2027.

Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31?

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Jan 5, 2027.

Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by December 31?

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Jan 5, 2027.

Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Jan 5, 2027.

Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $700B by December 31?

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Jan 5, 2027.

Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $600B by December 31?

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Jan 5, 2027.

Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $500B by December 31?

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Jan 1, 2027.

Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31?

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Jan 1, 2027.

Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by December 31?

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Jan 5, 2027.

Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.0T by December 31?decided · Yes

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Jan 5, 2027.

Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?decided · No

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Jan 1, 2027.

Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $5.0T by December 31?decided · No

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Jan 5, 2027.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI's private market valuation, as measured by the NPM Price reported by Nasdaq Private Market, LLC (NPM) for any date between market creation and December 31, 2026, reaches or exceeds the listed amount. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". NPM Prices are published for trading days only and are updated once daily at 1:00 PM ET on the following calendar day. If NPM has not published relevant data for all business dates in the specified period by 1:00 PM ET on January 1, 2027, this market may remain open until 11:59 PM ET on January 4, 2027. If no further data is released by that time, the market will resolve according to the data available. If NPM ceases publishing relevant data prior to the end of the specified period, this market will resolve based on the NPM data published for the period prior to the cessation of coverage, as well as any applicable public market capitalization data following an IPO or direct listing. If the company completes an IPO or direct listing before the end of the specified period, this market will consider, in addition to the relevant NPM valuations published between market creation and the IPO or direct listing date, the valuation implied by the official IPO or direct listing price, and the company's public market capitalization between the IPO or direct listing date and the end of the specified period. Public market capitalization will be determined using the highest/lowest official regular-hours trading price published for the company's primary listed common equity on its primary exchange for any trading day during the specified period, multiplied by the company's total outstanding common shares at the relevant time. If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies. If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, only NPM valuations and applicable public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution. The resolution source for this market is NPM data published here (https://fe.secondmarket.com/companies/company-30839e0b-2730-4495-839f-1bf638fa9cca/data?return_url=https://polymarket.com/finance/privates). The resolution source for any period following an IPO, direct listing, or relevant corporate action, will be official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts. Revisions to previously published NPM data made after their initial release will not be considered, unless made to correct clearly erroneous data.

Vectorial Data aggregates publicly available market data. We are not affiliated with any exchange or venue and do not custody funds. All probabilities, prices, funding rates, and resolutions shown are sourced from public on-chain APIs and may be delayed or revised. Markets and tokens shown are speculative — past performance does not predict future results, calibration metrics describe historical accuracy and do not guarantee future calibration. Nothing on this site is financial, investment, legal, or tax advice.