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Politics · binary

Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by...?

Vol total$751K
Vol 24h$703
Liquidity$16K
Resolves0d

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Prediction

Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by...?

Your pick: Yes — each share pays $1 if Yes wins.

Bets from $1 · deposits start at $3.

SideYes
Price$0.1250
Shares (est)40.00
Spend$5.00
Capital back$5.00
Profit if Yes wins+$35.00
If Yes wins pays$40.00
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Price history+1.50% · 1W
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Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a major ground offensive in Gaza between May 5, 9:00 PM ET, and May 13, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.