Politics · binary
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?
Vol total$334K
Vol 24h$3K
Liquidity$37K
Resolves133d
Place your bet
PredictionWill Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?
Your pick: Yes — each share pays $1 if Yes wins.
Bets from $1 · deposits start at $3.
SideYes
Price$0.0995
Shares (est)50.25
Spend$5.00
Capital back$5.00
Profit if Yes wins+$45.25
If Yes wins pays$50.25
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Price history+3.85% · 1W
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Islamic Republic of Iran formally notifies the United Nations of its decision to withdraw from the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty (NPT), pursuant to Article X of the treaty by December 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." To qualify, the Iranian government must issue an official written notice that explicitly states its intention to withdraw under Article X of the NPT. The resolution sources for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.