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Culture · 3 markets

Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by ___?

Vol total$433K
Vol 24h$2K
Liquidity$76K
Resolves818d
Your bet
Every card is one question. Tap Yes if you think it happens, No if you don't. Each button shows the chance the market gives it, what your $10 becomes if you're right (stake included), and the profit. Wrong = you lose your $10, never more. No is everything that isn't Yes.
Outcomes · most likely first3 questions

🎯Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026?most traded

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Jan 1, 2027.

🎯Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2027?

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Jan 1, 2028.

🎯Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2028?

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Jan 1, 2029.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Clay Mathematics Institute (CMI) awards a Millennium Prize for any of the six remaining unsolved Millennium Prize Problems, or otherwise officially declares any of these problems solved on its website or in an official communication, by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve solely based on a qualifying declaration by CMI that one of the six remaining unsolved Millennium Prize Problems has been solved, regardless of whether the solution takes the form of a positive proof, counterexample, disproof, or any other resolution accepted by CMI. A Millennium Prize award will qualify as an official declaration, but is not required; an official CMI statement that a problem has been solved is sufficient on its own. Whether the solution was produced in whole or in part by artificial intelligence, and whether any recipient accepts or declines a prize, will not be considered. A published or publicly posted proof will not qualify on its own, regardless of its acceptance by the mathematical community. The primary resolution source will be official information from the Clay Mathematics Institute (e.g., https://www.claymath.org); however, a consensus of credible reporting may be used to confirm that a qualifying CMI declaration or award has occurred.

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