Politics · binary

Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?

Vol total$422K

Vol 24h$2

Liquidity$94K

Resolves315d

Place your bet

Prediction

Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?

Your pick: Yes — each share pays $1 if Yes wins.

Spend (USDC)

Bets from $1 · deposits start at $3.

SideYes

Price$0.0850

Shares (est)58.82

Spend$5.00

Capital back$5.00

Profit if Yes wins+$53.82

If Yes wins pays$58.82

Connecting your wallet… (usually under 2s)

You sign every order from your embedded wallet. Vectorial Data never holds your funds.

Price history-0.50% · 1W

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if China commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of the Republic of China (Taiwan) by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Territory under the administration of the Republic of China, including any inhabited islands, will qualify; however, uninhabited islands will not qualify. The resolution source for this market will be official confirmation by China, Taiwan, the United Nations, or any permanent member of the UN Security Council; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.