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Politics · binary

Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?

Vol total$2.8M
Vol 24h$15K
Liquidity$237K
Resolves499d

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Prediction

Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?

Your pick: Yes — each share pays $1 if Yes wins.

Bets from $1 · deposits start at $3.

SideYes
Price$0.1250
Shares (est)40.00
Spend$5.00
Capital back$5.00
Profit if Yes wins+$35.00
If Yes wins pays$40.00
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Price history+1.00% · 1W
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Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if China commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of the Republic of China (Taiwan) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Territory under the administration of the Republic of China, including any inhabited islands, will qualify; however, uninhabited islands will not qualify. The resolution source for this market will be official confirmation by China, Taiwan, the United Nations, or any permanent member of the UN Security Council; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.