←All events
Politics · binary

Will any country leave NATO by...?

Vol total$1.4M
Vol 24h$67
Liquidity$22K
Resolves134d

Place your bet

Prediction

Will any country leave NATO by...?

Your pick: Yes — each share pays $1 if Yes wins.

Bets from $1 · deposits start at $3.

SideYes
Price$0.0330
Shares (est)151.52
Spend$5.00
Capital back$5.00
Profit if Yes wins+$146.52
If Yes wins pays$151.52
Connecting your wallet… (usually under 2s)

You sign every order from your embedded wallet. Vectorial Data never holds your funds.

Price history-0.20% · 1W
1%2%4%6%7%Aug 12Aug 13Aug 15Aug 16Aug 18Aug 19

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any member state formally withdraws from NATO or provides an official notice of denunciation to NATO by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A notice of denunciation refers to the submission of a notice of withdrawal as per Article 13 of the North Atlantic Treaty. A country's exit from NATO’s integrated military command structure will not be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes". That country must either withdraw or submit a notice of denunciation to trigger a "Yes" resolution. The resolution source will be official information from the relevant government and NATO, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.