All events
Climate · binary

Will any Category 5 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?

Vol total$141K
Vol 24h$1K
Liquidity$1K
Resolves120d

Place your bet

Prediction

Will any Category 5 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?

Your pick: Yes — each share pays $1 if Yes wins.

Bets from $1 · deposits start at $3.

SideYes
Price$0.0590
Shares (est)84.75
Spend$5.00
Capital back$5.00
Profit if Yes wins+$79.75
If Yes wins pays$84.75
Connecting your wallet… (usually under 2s)

You sign every order from your embedded wallet. Vectorial Data never holds your funds.

Price history-8.60% · 1W
2%6%10%13%17%Aug 27Aug 29Aug 30Sep 1Sep 2Sep 3

Resolution rules

For the purposes of this market, a Category 5 hurricane is a hurricane with maximum sustained winds of 157 mph or higher, as described at https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutsshws.php, and a hurricane landfall is said to occur when the hurricane's surface center intersects with the coastline, as described at https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml#LANDFALL. This market will resolve to "Yes" if any storm makes landfall in the conterminous United States as a Category 5 hurricane, as reported in official National Hurricane Center advisories (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/archive/2023/IDALIA.shtml?) between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market may resolve based on the initial advisory released by the NHC for whether any storm has made landfall in the conterminous United States at Category 5 strength, regardless of any later retraction or analysis that may contradict the initial qualifying announcement. However, subsequent corrections or updates will be considered if they indicate a qualifying incident.

Vectorial Data aggregates publicly available market data. We are not affiliated with any exchange or venue and do not custody funds. All probabilities, prices, funding rates, and resolutions shown are sourced from public on-chain APIs and may be delayed or revised. Markets and tokens shown are speculative — past performance does not predict future results, calibration metrics describe historical accuracy and do not guarantee future calibration. Nothing on this site is financial, investment, legal, or tax advice.