Tech & AI · Ends Dec 31

Will any AI model reach ___ Math Arena Score by December 31?

Most likely: 1575 at 39% (up 2.5 points in 24 hours), then 1600 at 9%.

Max Chatbot Arena Math: past results and how often the favorite won →

What do you think happens?

Each line is its own yes-or-no question.

1575▲ 3 today

1600▼ 3 today

Your money, explained

Put $10 on “1575” at 39% → if it happens you get $25.97 (+$15.97). If it doesn't, you lose the $10 — never more. You can sell any time before it ends, at that moment's price.

How it's decided

It's settled by the official result (arena.ai) when the question closes on Dec 31, 2026, US Eastern time. Source ↗

Full rules (source: Polymarket)This market will resolve to "Yes" if any model on the Arena.AI Leaderboard (arena.ai/leaderboard/text) reaches at least the specified Arena Score on the "Leaderboard" tab for "Math" by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Results from the "Score" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control with style control off will be used to resolve this market. The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at arena.ai/leaderboard/text. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "No".

$143K traded since it opened · $431 today