Politics · 15 markets
Who will visit Ukraine by December 31?
Vol total$296K
Vol 24h$33K
Liquidity$109K
Resolves135d
Outcomes · most likely first
🇺🇸
Donald Trump
$97K vol·+2%·7d
6.6%
chance
Yes 7¢ · No 93¢
🇺🇸
JD Vance
$72K vol·+8%·7d
13.4%
chance
Yes 13¢ · No 87¢
🎯
António Costa
$28K vol·+3%·7d
88.0%
chance
Yes 88¢ · No 12¢
🇬🇧
Andy Burnham
$12K vol·+10%·7d
82.5%
chance
Yes 83¢ · No 18¢
🎯
Donald Tusk
$11K vol·-5%·7d
68.5%
chance
Yes 69¢ · No 32¢
🎯
Mark Carney
$11K vol·+7%·7d
57.0%
chance
Yes 57¢ · No 43¢
🎯
Friedrich Merz
$11K vol·-25%·7d
36.0%
chance
Yes 36¢ · No 64¢
🎯
Keith Kellogg
$10K vol·-7%·7d
72.5%
chance
Yes 73¢ · No 28¢
🎯
Ursula von der Leyen
$9K vol·-3%·7d
61.0%
chance
Yes 61¢ · No 39¢
🎯
António Guterres
$8K vol·-2%·7d
40.5%
chance
Yes 41¢ · No 60¢
🎯
Mark Rutte
$8K vol·+4%·7d
69.5%
chance
Yes 70¢ · No 31¢
🇫🇷
Emmanuel Macron
$6K vol·-38%·7d
25.0%
chance
Yes 25¢ · No 75¢
🇺🇸
Steve Witkoff
$5K vol·-4%·7d
78.0%
chance
Yes 78¢ · No 22¢
🇺🇸
Jared Kushner
$4K vol·-4%·7d
80.5%
chance
Yes 81¢ · No 20¢
🎯
Maia Sandu
$3K vol·+12%·7d
92.5%
chance
Yes 93¢ · No 8¢
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual visits Ukraine between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as the listed individual physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of Ukraine. Whether or not the listed individual enters Ukrainian airspace during the timeframe of this market will not be considered. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.