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Politics · 28 markets

Who will Trump pardon before 2027?

Vol total$500K
Vol 24h$3K
Liquidity$404K
Resolves89d
Your bet
Every card is one question. Tap Yes if you think it happens, No if you don't. Each button shows the chance the market gives it, what your $10 becomes if you're right (stake included), and the profit. Wrong = you lose your $10, never more. No is everything that isn't Yes.
Outcomes · most likely first28 questions

Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried before 2027?most traded

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Jan 1, 2027.

Will Trump pardon Elon Musk before 2027?

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Jan 1, 2027.

Will Trump pardon Ryan Salame before 2027?

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Jan 1, 2027.

Will Trump pardon Diddy before 2027?

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Jan 1, 2027.

Will Trump pardon Martin Shkreli before 2027?

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Jan 1, 2027.

Will Trump pardon Derek Chauvin before 2027?

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Jan 1, 2027.

Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell before 2027?

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Jan 1, 2027.

Will Trump pardon Do Kwon before 2027?

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Jan 1, 2027.

Will Trump pardon Keonne Rodriguez before 2027?

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Jan 1, 2027.

Will Trump pardon Donald Brodie before 2027?

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Jan 1, 2027.

Will Trump pardon Himself before 2027?

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Jan 1, 2027.

Will Trump pardon Roger Stone before 2027?

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Jan 1, 2027.

Will Trump pardon Nicolas Maduro before 2027?

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Jan 1, 2027.

Will Trump pardon Steve Bannon before 2027?

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Jan 1, 2027.

Will Trump pardon Matt Gaetz before 2027?

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Jan 1, 2027.

Will Trump pardon Hunter Biden before 2027?

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Jan 1, 2027.

Will Trump pardon Joe Exotic "The Tiger King" before 2027?

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Jan 1, 2027.

Will Trump pardon Young Thug before 2027?

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Jan 1, 2027.

Will Trump pardon Julian Assange before 2027?

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Jan 1, 2027.

Will Trump pardon Elizabeth Holmes before 2027?

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Jan 1, 2027.

Will Trump pardon Edward Snowden before 2027?

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Jan 1, 2027.

Will Trump pardon Stefan Brodie before 2027?

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Jan 1, 2027.

Will Trump pardon Roger Ver before 2027?

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Jan 1, 2027.

Will Trump pardon Antoine Massey before 2027?

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Jan 1, 2027.

Will Trump pardon Eric Adams before 2027?

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Jan 1, 2027.

Will Trump pardon Andrew Tate before 2027?

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Jan 1, 2027.

Will Trump pardon Bob Menendez before 2027?

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Jan 1, 2027.

Will Trump pardon Daniel Penny before 2027?decided · No

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Jan 1, 2027.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between November 17, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Vectorial Data aggregates publicly available market data. We are not affiliated with any exchange or venue and do not custody funds. All probabilities, prices, funding rates, and resolutions shown are sourced from public on-chain APIs and may be delayed or revised. Markets and tokens shown are speculative — past performance does not predict future results, calibration metrics describe historical accuracy and do not guarantee future calibration. Nothing on this site is financial, investment, legal, or tax advice.