Politics · 28 markets
Who will Trump pardon before 2027?
Vol total$418K
Vol 24h$347
Liquidity$244K
Resolves134d
Outcomes · most likely first
🇺🇸
Sam Bankman-Fried
$128K vol·+0%·7d
4.5%
chance
Yes 5¢ · No 96¢
🇺🇸
Martin Shkreli
$30K vol·-5%·7d
6.0%
chance
Yes 6¢ · No 94¢
🇺🇸
Ryan Salame
$30K vol·+23%·7d
43.5%
chance
Yes 44¢ · No 56¢
🇺🇸
Diddy
$25K vol·-0%·7d
5.0%
chance
Yes 5¢ · No 95¢
🇰🇷
Do Kwon
$23K vol·+1%·7d
2.4%
chance
Yes 2¢ · No 98¢
🇬🇧
Ghislaine Maxwell
$22K vol·-2%·7d
4.0%
chance
Yes 4¢ · No 96¢
🇺🇸
Derek Chauvin
$19K vol·+0%·7d
4.8%
chance
Yes 5¢ · No 95¢
🇺🇸
Keonne Rodriguez
$17K vol·+6%·7d
18.5%
chance
Yes 19¢ · No 82¢
🎯
Himself
$13K vol·-1%·7d
4.4%
chance
Yes 4¢ · No 96¢
🇻🇪
Nicolas Maduro
$9K vol
3.5%
chance
Yes 4¢ · No 97¢
🇺🇸
Steve Bannon
$8K vol·+2%·7d
16.9%
chance
Yes 17¢ · No 83¢
🇺🇸
Joe Exotic
$5K vol
8.5%
chance
Yes 9¢ · No 92¢
🇺🇸
Young Thug
$4K vol·+0%·7d
4.0%
chance
Yes 4¢ · No 96¢
🇺🇸
Matt Gaetz
$4K vol·+11%·7d
20.5%
chance
Yes 21¢ · No 80¢
🇺🇸
Elizabeth Holmes
$4K vol·+1%·7d
3.5%
chance
Yes 4¢ · No 96¢
🇺🇸
Roger Stone
$3K vol·-5%·7d
15.5%
chance
Yes 16¢ · No 85¢
🇷🇺
Edward Snowden
$3K vol·-0%·7d
3.9%
chance
Yes 4¢ · No 96¢
🇦🇺
Julian Assange
$3K vol·-1%·7d
5.3%
chance
Yes 5¢ · No 95¢
🎯
Stefan Brodie
$2K vol·-1%·7d
16.5%
chance
Yes 17¢ · No 84¢
🎯
Donald Brodie
$1K vol·-20%·7d
20.5%
chance
Yes 21¢ · No 80¢
🇺🇸
Roger Ver
$1K vol·-5%·7d
6.0%
chance
Yes 6¢ · No 94¢
🇺🇸
Eric Adams
$1K vol·-7%·7d
8.0%
chance
Yes 8¢ · No 92¢
🇺🇸
Daniel Penny
$447 vol·-8%·7d
20.5%
chance
Yes 21¢ · No 80¢
🇬🇧
Andrew Tate
$219 vol
3.6%
chance
Yes 4¢ · No 96¢
🇺🇸
Bob Menendez
$195 vol·-2%·7d
5.8%
chance
Yes 6¢ · No 94¢
🇺🇸
Elon Musk
$53K vol·-0%·7d
1.8%
chance
Yes 2¢ · No 98¢
🇺🇸
Hunter Biden
$5K vol
1.9%
chance
Yes 2¢ · No 98¢
🎯
Antoine Massey
$2K vol·-2%·7d
1.6%
chance
Yes 2¢ · No 98¢
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between November 17, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.