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Tech & AI · 10 markets

Who will the OpenAI spy be accused of working for in 2026?

Most likely: Saudi Arabia at 17% (up 2.5 points in 24 hours), then Russia at 11% and China at 10%.

$105K traded · $19K in 24h · $164K liquidity · resolves in 78 days

Your bet
Every card is one question. Tap Yes if you think it happens, No if you don't. Each button shows the chance the market gives it, what your $10 becomes if you're right (stake included), and the profit. Wrong = you lose your $10, never more. No is everything that isn't Yes.
Outcomes · most likely first10 questions

Will the OpenAI spy be accused of working for Russia by December 31?most traded

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Jan 1, 2027.

Will the OpenAI spy be accused of working for Saudi Arabia by December 31?

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Jan 1, 2027.

Will the OpenAI spy be accused of working for Anthropic by December 31?

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Jan 1, 2027.

Will the OpenAI spy be accused of working for Meta by December 31?

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Jan 1, 2027.

Will the OpenAI spy be accused of working for China by December 31?

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Jan 1, 2027.

Will the OpenAI spy be accused of working for Iran by December 31?

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Jan 1, 2027.

Will the OpenAI spy be accused of working for SpaceXAI / Elon Musk by December 31?

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Jan 1, 2027.

Will the OpenAI spy be accused of working for North Korea by December 31?

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Jan 1, 2027.

Will the OpenAI spy be accused of working for Israel by December 31?

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Jan 1, 2027.

Will the OpenAI spy be accused of working for Google by December 31?

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Jan 1, 2027.

Resolution rules (source: Polymarket)

On October 13, 2026, the U.S. Department of Justice announced that Abdulrahman Alfozan, an OpenAI employee and Saudi national, had been arrested and charged after allegedly installing a covert audio recording device in an executive conference room at OpenAI's San Francisco offices (see: https://www.justice.gov/opa/pr/saudi-national-arrested-installing-surreptitious-audio-recording-device-openai). This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. federal government or OpenAI publicly alleges that Abdulrahman Alfozan acted on behalf of the listed entity in connection with this incident between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For listed countries, the alleged conduct must be attributed to the government of the listed country, its intelligence or security services, or a state-affiliated entity of the listed country. Alfozan's nationality alone will not qualify. For listed companies or individuals, the alleged conduct must be attributed to the listed company, its subsidiaries, or the listed individual. A qualifying allegation must definitively state that Alfozan acted on behalf of, or under the direction, control, or sponsorship of, the listed entity. Statements that merely speculate about or suggest possible ties, or that describe only contact, cooperation, or association with the listed entity, will not qualify. Qualifying allegations include charging documents, court filings, and on-the-record statements by the U.S. Department of Justice, the FBI, or other U.S. federal agencies or their authorized representatives acting in an official capacity, as well as official statements by OpenAI. Once a qualifying allegation has been made, no subsequent retraction will be relevant for purposes of this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. government and OpenAI.

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