Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027?most traded
YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Jan 1, 2027.
Politics · 16 markets
Who will leave Trump Administration before 2027?
Vol total$1.4M
Vol 24h$869
Liquidity$86K
Resolves89d
Your bet
Every card is one question. Tap Yes if you think it happens, No if you don't. Each button shows the chance the market gives it, what your $10 becomes if you're right (stake included), and the profit. Wrong = you lose your $10, never more. No is everything that isn't Yes.
Outcomes · most likely first16 questions
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027?
YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Jan 1, 2027.
Will Kristi Noem leave the Trump administration before 2027?
YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Jan 1, 2027.
Will Howard Lutnick leave the Trump administration before 2027?
YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Jan 1, 2027.
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. leave the Trump administration before 2027?
YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Jan 1, 2027.
Will Susie Wiles leave the Trump administration before 2027?
YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Jan 1, 2027.
Will Lee Zeldin leave the Trump administration before 2027?
YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Jan 1, 2027.
Will Marco Rubio leave the Trump administration before 2027?
YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Jan 1, 2027.
Will Scott Bessent leave the Trump administration before 2027?
YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Jan 1, 2027.
Will David Sacks leave the Trump administration before 2027?
YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Jan 1, 2027.
Will Stephen Miller leave the Trump administration before 2027?
YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Jan 1, 2027.
🇺🇸Will Markwayne Mullin leave the Trump administration before 2027?
YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Jan 1, 2027.
Will John Ratcliffe leave the Trump administration before 2027?
YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Jan 1, 2027.
Will Russell Vought leave the Trump administration before 2027?
YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Jan 1, 2027.
Will Tom Homan leave the Trump administration before 2027?
YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Jan 1, 2027.
Will Dan Scavino leave the Trump administration before 2027?
YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Jan 1, 2027.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if it is announced that that the listed individual will leave the Trump Administration, or otherwise ceases to be a member of administration by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of the listed individual's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The Trump administration includes individuals formally appointed by Donald Trump to roles within the U.S. federal government, such as Cabinet members, Executive Office staff, senior policy advisors, ambassadors, or White House staff whose appointments are publicly announced by official government channels. The primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reopening may also be used.