All events
Politics · 16 markets

Who will leave Trump Administration before 2027?

Vol total$1.4M
Vol 24h$928
Liquidity$68K
Resolves134d

Outcomes · most likely first

🇺🇸
Kash Patel
$301K vol·-7%·7d
24.0%
chance
Yes 24¢ · No 76¢
🇺🇸
Pete Hegseth
$112K vol·+1%·7d
26.0%
chance
Yes 26¢ · No 74¢
🇺🇸
Kristi Noem
$96K vol·-2%·7d
22.0%
chance
Yes 22¢ · No 78¢
🇺🇸
Howard Lutnick
$93K vol·-3%·7d
29.5%
chance
Yes 30¢ · No 71¢
🇺🇸
Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
$87K vol·-7%·7d
25.0%
chance
Yes 25¢ · No 75¢
🇺🇸
Susie Wiles
$55K vol·-10%·7d
21.0%
chance
Yes 21¢ · No 79¢
🇺🇸
Lee Zeldin
$31K vol·-4%·7d
16.0%
chance
Yes 16¢ · No 84¢
🇺🇸
Marco Rubio
$17K vol·-1%·7d
6.5%
chance
Yes 7¢ · No 94¢
🇺🇸
David Sacks
$9K vol·-14%·7d
20.9%
chance
Yes 21¢ · No 79¢
🇺🇸
Scott Bessent
$6K vol·-1%·7d
11.0%
chance
Yes 11¢ · No 89¢
🇺🇸
Stephen Miller
$3K vol·-2%·7d
8.5%
chance
Yes 9¢ · No 92¢
🇺🇸
Markwayne Mullin
$3K vol·+1%·7d
16.0%
chance
Yes 16¢ · No 84¢
🇺🇸
John Ratcliffe
$554 vol·+2%·7d
14.5%
chance
Yes 14¢ · No 86¢
🇺🇸
Russell Vought
$284 vol·-9%·7d
37.5%
chance
Yes 38¢ · No 63¢
🇺🇸
Tom Homan
$172 vol
27.0%
chance
Yes 27¢ · No 73¢
🇺🇸
Dan Scavino
$137 vol·+0%·7d
29.4%
chance
Yes 29¢ · No 71¢

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to “Yes” if it is announced that that the listed individual will leave the Trump Administration, or otherwise ceases to be a member of administration by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of the listed individual's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The Trump administration includes individuals formally appointed by Donald Trump to roles within the U.S. federal government, such as Cabinet members, Executive Office staff, senior policy advisors, ambassadors, or White House staff whose appointments are publicly announced by official government channels. The primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reopening may also be used.