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Who will be UFC Heavyweight champion at the end of 2026?

Ciryl Gane leads at 69% (+0.5 pts in 24h), followed by Josh Hokit 26% and Tom Aspinall <1%. $381K traded in total, $1K in the last 24 hours. Scheduled to resolve Jan 1, 2027, per ufc.com.

Vol total$381K
Vol 24h$1K
Liquidity$30K
Resolves83d
Your bet
Every card is one question. Tap Yes if you think it happens, No if you don't. Each button shows the chance the market gives it, what your $10 becomes if you're right (stake included), and the profit. Wrong = you lose your $10, never more. No is everything that isn't Yes.
Winner15 questions

Ciryl Gane wins?

YESCiryl Gane wins the titleNOAnyone else does
Settles: Official champion.

Josh Hokit wins?

YESJosh Hokit wins the titleNOAnyone else does
Settles: Official champion.

Marcin Tybura wins?decided · No

YESMarcin Tybura wins the titleNOAnyone else does
Settles: Official champion.

Curtis Blaydes wins?decided · No

YESCurtis Blaydes wins the titleNOAnyone else does
Settles: Official champion.

Waldo Cortes Acosta wins?decided · No

YESWaldo Cortes Acosta wins the titleNOAnyone else does
Settles: Official champion.

Alexander Volkov wins?decided · No

YESAlexander Volkov wins the titleNOAnyone else does
Settles: Official champion.

Tom Aspinall wins?decided · No

YESTom Aspinall wins the titleNOAnyone else does
Settles: Official champion.

Derrick Lewis wins?decided · No

YESDerrick Lewis wins the titleNOAnyone else does
Settles: Official champion.

Sergei Pavlovich wins?decided · No

YESSergei Pavlovich wins the titleNOAnyone else does
Settles: Official champion.

Alex Pereira wins?decided · No

YESAlex Pereira wins the titleNOAnyone else does
Settles: Official champion.

Serghei Spivac wins?decided · No

YESSerghei Spivac wins the titleNOAnyone else does
Settles: Official champion.

Ante Delija wins?decided · No

YESAnte Delija wins the titleNOAnyone else does
Settles: Official champion.

Jailton Almeida wins?decided · No

YESJailton Almeida wins the titleNOAnyone else does
Settles: Official champion.

Rizvan Kuniev wins?decided · No

YESRizvan Kuniev wins the titleNOAnyone else does
Settles: Official champion.

Tyrell Fortune wins?decided · No

YESTyrell Fortune wins the titleNOAnyone else does
Settles: Official champion.

Resolution rules (source: Polymarket)

This market will resolve according to the official UFC Heavyweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count. If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).

Vectorial Data aggregates publicly available market data. We are not affiliated with any exchange or venue and do not custody funds. All probabilities, prices, funding rates, and resolutions shown are sourced from public on-chain APIs and may be delayed or revised. Markets and tokens shown are speculative — past performance does not predict future results, calibration metrics describe historical accuracy and do not guarantee future calibration. Nothing on this site is financial, investment, legal, or tax advice.