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Tech & AI · 4 markets

Who will be added to Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?

Vol total$103K
Vol 24h$2K
Liquidity$85K
Resolves269d
Your bet
Every card is one question. Tap Yes if you think it happens, No if you don't. Each button shows the chance the market gives it, what your $10 becomes if you're right (stake included), and the profit. Wrong = you lose your $10, never more. No is everything that isn't Yes.
Outcomes · most likely first4 questions

Will ByteDance be added to the Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?most traded

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Jul 1, 2027.

Will Xiaomi be added to the Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Jul 1, 2027.

Will DeepSeek be added to the Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Jul 1, 2027.

Will Moonshot AI be added to the Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Jul 1, 2027.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the specified company is added to the list entitled “Entities Identified as Chinese Military Companies Operating in the United States in Accordance with Section 1260H of the William M. (Mac) Thornberry National Defense Authorization Act for Fiscal Year 2021” by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying addition occurs when the specified company that was unnamed in the list on June 8, 2026 (available here: https://www.war.gov/News/Releases/Release/Article/4511232/dow-releases-list-of-chinese-military-companies-in-accordance-with-section-1260/) appears on an updated official Section 1260H list. A qualifying addition must be reflected in a subsequent list published by the U.S. Department of Defense in the Federal Register or on its official website, in an official DoD announcement or Federal Register notice of addition. Addition of a subsidiary or parent company of the specified company will qualify. An addition will qualify regardless of whether it is later retracted or withdrawn. For the purposes of this market, a company’s status will be entirely determined by its presence on the aforementioned list. If the company is added but its status is unenforced, the addition will still qualify. If no qualifying announcement or list republishing occurs by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting and official information from the Department of Defense (https://www.defense.gov) (a.k.a. Department of War, https://www.war.gov).

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