Politics · 71 markets
Who will announce Presidential run before 2028?
Vol total$41K
Vol 24h$202
Liquidity$301K
Resolves500d
Outcomes · most likely first
🇺🇸
Gavin Newsom
$3K vol·+4%·7d
82.0%
chance
Yes 82¢ · No 18¢
🇺🇸
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
$2K vol·-3%·7d
65.0%
chance
Yes 65¢ · No 35¢
🇺🇸
Hillary Clinton
$2K vol
10.5%
chance
Yes 11¢ · No 90¢
🇺🇸
Tim Walz
$2K vol·+1%·7d
8.3%
chance
Yes 8¢ · No 92¢
🇺🇸
Steve Bannon
$2K vol·+7%·7d
26.5%
chance
Yes 27¢ · No 74¢
🇺🇸
John Fetterman
$2K vol
22.0%
chance
Yes 22¢ · No 78¢
🇺🇸
Jon Ossoff
$2K vol·+6%·7d
56.5%
chance
Yes 56¢ · No 44¢
🇺🇸
Kim Kardashian
$2K vol·-1%·7d
13.5%
chance
Yes 14¢ · No 87¢
🇺🇸
Josh Hawley
$1K vol·+1%·7d
23.5%
chance
Yes 24¢ · No 77¢
🇺🇸
Liz Cheney
$1K vol
21.0%
chance
Yes 21¢ · No 79¢
🇺🇸
Hunter Biden
$1K vol·-1%·7d
13.5%
chance
Yes 14¢ · No 87¢
🇺🇸
Jon Stewart
$1K vol
17.0%
chance
Yes 17¢ · No 83¢
🇺🇸
Andrew Yang
$1K vol·-1%·7d
39.0%
chance
Yes 39¢ · No 61¢
🇺🇸
Tucker Carlson
$1K vol·+4%·7d
19.5%
chance
Yes 20¢ · No 81¢
🇺🇸
Ted Cruz
$1K vol·-1%·7d
73.5%
chance
Yes 74¢ · No 27¢
🇺🇸
Marco Rubio
$1K vol
48.0%
chance
Yes 48¢ · No 52¢
🇺🇸
MrBeast
$1K vol·-1%·7d
13.0%
chance
Yes 13¢ · No 87¢
🇺🇸
Gina Raimondo
$1K vol
20.0%
chance
Yes 20¢ · No 80¢
🇺🇸
Bernie Sanders
$975 vol
16.0%
chance
Yes 16¢ · No 84¢
🇺🇸
Zohran Mamdani
$970 vol
12.5%
chance
Yes 13¢ · No 88¢
🎯
Erika Kirk
$920 vol
9.5%
chance
Yes 10¢ · No 91¢
🇺🇸
Cory Booker
$852 vol·+4%·7d
70.0%
chance
Yes 70¢ · No 30¢
🇺🇸
Stephen A. Smith
$811 vol·-1%·7d
18.0%
chance
Yes 18¢ · No 82¢
🇺🇸
Michelle Obama
$783 vol·-1%·7d
15.5%
chance
Yes 16¢ · No 85¢
🇺🇸
Gretchen Whitmer
$745 vol·+2%·7d
30.0%
chance
Yes 30¢ · No 70¢
🇺🇸
Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson
$716 vol·+1%·7d
16.0%
chance
Yes 16¢ · No 84¢
🇺🇸
Mike Pence
$542 vol
16.5%
chance
Yes 17¢ · No 84¢
🇺🇸
Kamala Harris
$525 vol
66.0%
chance
Yes 66¢ · No 34¢
🇺🇸
Tulsi Gabbard
$482 vol·-12%·7d
25.5%
chance
Yes 26¢ · No 75¢
🇺🇸
Ron DeSantis
$468 vol·+9%·7d
75.0%
chance
Yes 75¢ · No 25¢
🇺🇸
Glenn Youngkin
$468 vol·-6%·7d
24.0%
chance
Yes 24¢ · No 76¢
🇺🇸
Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
$465 vol
27.5%
chance
Yes 28¢ · No 73¢
🇺🇸
Phil Murphy
$463 vol
20.0%
chance
Yes 20¢ · No 80¢
🇺🇸
Marjorie Taylor Greene
$410 vol·+2%·7d
24.5%
chance
Yes 25¢ · No 76¢
🇺🇸
Donald Trump Jr.
$332 vol·-1%·7d
26.0%
chance
Yes 26¢ · No 74¢
🇺🇸
Elon Musk
$310 vol
16.5%
chance
Yes 17¢ · No 84¢
🇺🇸
Brian Kemp
$262 vol·-1%·7d
25.0%
chance
Yes 25¢ · No 75¢
🇺🇸
John Thune
$203 vol·-1%·7d
16.5%
chance
Yes 17¢ · No 84¢
🇺🇸
Mark Cuban
$143 vol
18.5%
chance
Yes 19¢ · No 82¢
🇺🇸
Rand Paul
$121 vol
36.0%
chance
Yes 36¢ · No 64¢
🇺🇸
Wes Moore
$120 vol
59.5%
chance
Yes 60¢ · No 41¢
🇺🇸
Mark Kelly
$100 vol·+1%·7d
62.5%
chance
Yes 63¢ · No 38¢
🇺🇸
J.D. Vance
$95 vol
76.0%
chance
Yes 76¢ · No 24¢
🇺🇸
Pete Buttigieg
$84 vol·-1%·7d
85.5%
chance
Yes 86¢ · No 14¢
🇺🇸
Jared Polis
$80 vol·+2%·7d
34.5%
chance
Yes 35¢ · No 66¢
🇺🇸
Josh Shapiro
$80 vol·+1%·7d
68.5%
chance
Yes 69¢ · No 32¢
🇺🇸
Rahm Emanuel
$70 vol
74.0%
chance
Yes 74¢ · No 26¢
🇺🇸
Byron Donalds
$64 vol·-13%·7d
36.5%
chance
Yes 37¢ · No 64¢
🇺🇸
Chelsea Clinton
$63 vol·+1%·7d
4.2%
chance
Yes 4¢ · No 96¢
🇺🇸
Raphael Warnock
$60 vol
29.5%
chance
Yes 30¢ · No 71¢
🇺🇸
Nikki Haley
$60 vol
31.0%
chance
Yes 31¢ · No 69¢
🇺🇸
Vivek Ramaswamy
$60 vol
30.5%
chance
Yes 31¢ · No 70¢
🇺🇸
J.B. Pritzker
$45 vol
67.0%
chance
Yes 67¢ · No 33¢
🇺🇸
Roy Cooper
$40 vol·+4%·7d
15.5%
chance
Yes 16¢ · No 85¢
🇺🇸
Andy Beshear
$20 vol
78.0%
chance
Yes 78¢ · No 22¢
🇺🇸
Elise Stefanik
$20 vol·-1%·7d
19.0%
chance
Yes 19¢ · No 81¢
🇺🇸
Tom Brady
$20 vol
13.0%
chance
Yes 13¢ · No 87¢
🇺🇸
Barack Obama
$0 vol·-1%·7d
7.2%
chance
Yes 7¢ · No 93¢
🇺🇸
George Clooney
$0 vol·+14%·7d
18.5%
chance
Yes 19¢ · No 82¢
🇺🇸
Oprah Winfrey
$0 vol·+2%·7d
21.5%
chance
Yes 22¢ · No 79¢
🎯
Beto O’Rourke
$0 vol·+10%·7d
26.0%
chance
Yes 26¢ · No 74¢
🇺🇸
Donald Trump
$0 vol·-1%·7d
27.0%
chance
Yes 27¢ · No 73¢
🇺🇸
Sarah Huckabee Sanders
$0 vol·+2%·7d
49.5%
chance
Yes 50¢ · No 51¢
🇺🇸
Greg Abbott
$0 vol·-2%·7d
12.5%
chance
Yes 13¢ · No 88¢
🇺🇸
Matt Gaetz
$0 vol·+33%·7d
49.5%
chance
Yes 50¢ · No 51¢
🇺🇸
Katie Britt
$0 vol·-21%·7d
26.5%
chance
Yes 27¢ · No 74¢
🇺🇸
Kristi Noem
$0 vol·+3%·7d
48.5%
chance
Yes 49¢ · No 52¢
🇺🇸
Ivanka Trump
$0 vol·+40%·7d
50.0%
chance
Yes 50¢ · No 50¢
🇺🇸
Don Lemon
$0 vol
46.5%
chance
Yes 47¢ · No 54¢
🇺🇸
Candace Owens
$0 vol·+2%·7d
50.0%
chance
Yes 50¢ · No 50¢
🇺🇸
LeBron James
$99 vol·-0%·7d
1.3%
chance
Yes 1¢ · No 99¢
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual officially announces that they are running for U.S. President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future. A qualifying announcement must be explicit and unambiguous. Conditional statements, or statements that are clearly sarcastic, made in jest, or immediately clarified as not being genuine will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.